Veterinary Epidemiology, Economics and Public Health Group, Department of Production and Population Health, Royal Veterinary College, University of London, Hawkshead Lane, Hatfield, Hertfordshire, United Kingdom.
Veterinary Epidemiology and Economics Research Unit, University of Reading, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom.
PLoS One. 2017 Dec 5;12(12):e0189090. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0189090. eCollection 2017.
Concerns are growing over the impact of livestock farming on environment and public health. The livestock industry is faced with the double constraint of limiting its use of natural resources and antimicrobials while ensuring its economic sustainability. In this context, reliable methods are needed to evaluate the effect of the prevention of endemic animal diseases on the productivity of livestock production systems. In this study, an epidemiological and productivity model was used to link changes in Bovine Respiratory Disease (BRD) incidence with the productivity of the beef and dairy cattle sectors in France. Cattle production parameters significantly affected by BRD were selected through literature review. Previous field study results and national cattle performance estimates were used to infer growth performances, mortality rates and carcass quality in the cattle affected and not affected by BRD. A steady-state deterministic herd production model was used to predict the productivity of the dairy and beef sector and their defined compartments (breeding-fattening, feedlot young bulls, and feedlot veal) in case of BRD incidence reduction by 20%, 50% or 100%. Results suggested that BRD should be controlled at a priority in beef breeding farms as eradication of BRD in beef calves would increase the whole beef sector's productivity by 4.7-5.5% while eradication in other production stages would result in lower productivity gain in their respective sectors. However, the analysis performed at compartment level showed that, in both the beef and dairy sector, young bull and veal feedlot enterprises derive more economic benefits from BRD eradication for their own compartment (increase in productivity of 8.7-12.8% for beef young bulls) than the breeding farms (increase in productivity of 5.1-6% for beef calves), which may limit the investments in BRD control.
人们对畜牧业对环境和公共健康的影响表示担忧。畜牧业面临着双重限制,既要限制其对自然资源和抗菌药物的使用,又要确保其经济可持续性。在这种情况下,需要可靠的方法来评估预防地方性动物疾病对畜牧业生产系统生产力的影响。在本研究中,使用流行病学和生产力模型将牛呼吸道疾病(BRD)发病率的变化与法国牛肉和奶牛生产部门的生产力联系起来。通过文献回顾选择了受 BRD 显著影响的牛生产参数。利用以前的田间研究结果和国家牛性能估算值,推断出受 BRD 影响和不受 BRD 影响的牛的生长性能、死亡率和胴体质量。使用稳态确定性畜群生产模型预测了 BRD 发病率降低 20%、50%或 100%时奶牛和肉牛部门及其定义的畜群(繁殖育肥、育肥公牛、育肥小牛肉)的生产力。结果表明,应优先在肉牛养殖场控制 BRD,因为在肉牛犊中根除 BRD 将使整个肉牛部门的生产力提高 4.7-5.5%,而在其他生产阶段根除则会降低各自部门的生产力收益。然而,在畜群水平上进行的分析表明,在肉牛和奶牛部门,育肥牛和小牛肉饲料厂企业从其自身畜群(肉牛小公牛的生产力提高 8.7-12.8%)根除 BRD 中获得的经济效益大于繁殖农场(肉牛犊的生产力提高 5.1-6%),这可能限制了对 BRD 控制的投资。