Chaudhary M A, Liversidge H M
Queen Mary University of London, Institute of Dentistry, Turner Street, London United Kingdom.
J Forensic Odontostomatol. 2017 Dec 1;35(2):79-89.
Visibility of the periodontal ligament of mandibular third molars (M3) has been suggested as a method to estimate age.
To assess the accuracy of this method and compare the visibility of the periodontal ligament in the left M3 with the right M3. The sample was archived panoramic dental radiographs of 163 individuals (75 males, 88 females, age 16-53 years) with mature M3's.
Reliability was assessed using Kappa. Accuracy was assessed by subtracting chronological age from estimated age for males and females. Stages were cross-tabulated against age stages younger than and at least 18 and 21 years of age. Stages were compared in the left M3 and right M3.
Analysis showed excellent intra-observer reliability. Mean difference between estimated and chronological ages was 7.21 years (SD 5.16) for left M3 and 7.69 (SD 6.08) for right M3 in males and 6.87 (SD 5.83) for left M3 and 8.61 (SD 6.58) for right M3 in females. Minimum ages of stages 0 to 2 were younger than previously reported, despite a small sample of individuals younger than 18. The left and right M3 stage differed in 46% of the 85 individuals with readings from both side and estimated age differed from -10.5 to 12.2 years between left and right.
Accuracy of this method was between 6 and 8 years with an error of 5 to 6 years. The number of individuals with mature M3 apices younger than 18 years was small. The stage of visibility of the periodontal ligament differed between left and right in almost half of our sample with both teeth present. Our findings question the use of this method to estimate age or to discriminate between age younger and at least 18 years.
下颌第三磨牙(M3)牙周膜的可见性已被提议作为一种估计年龄的方法。
评估该方法的准确性,并比较左侧M3和右侧M3牙周膜的可见性。样本为163名(75名男性,88名女性,年龄16 - 53岁)M3成熟的个体的存档全景牙科X线片。
使用Kappa评估可靠性。通过从男性和女性的估计年龄中减去实际年龄来评估准确性。将各阶段与年龄小于、至少18岁和21岁的年龄阶段进行交叉制表。比较左侧M3和右侧M3的阶段。
分析显示观察者内可靠性极佳。男性中,左侧M3估计年龄与实际年龄的平均差异为7.21岁(标准差5.16),右侧M3为7.69岁(标准差6.08);女性中,左侧M3为6.87岁(标准差5.83),右侧M3为8.61岁(标准差6.58)。尽管18岁以下个体样本较小,但0至2阶段的最小年龄比先前报道的要小。在85名两侧均有读数的个体中,46%的个体左侧和右侧M3阶段不同,左右两侧估计年龄相差 - 10.5至12.2岁。
该方法的准确性在6至8岁之间,误差为5至6岁。M3根尖成熟且年龄小于18岁的个体数量较少。在我们样本中几乎一半两侧牙齿均存在的个体中,牙周膜的可见阶段左右不同。我们的研究结果对使用该方法估计年龄或区分年龄小于和至少18岁提出了质疑。