Kim Jinho, Fletcher Jason M
Department of Sociology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 1180 Observatory Drive, Madison, WI 53706.
La Follette School of Public Affairs, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 1225 Observatory Drive, Madison, WI 53706-1211.
Deviant Behav. 2018;39(3):275-292. doi: 10.1080/01639625.2016.1269563. Epub 2017 Jan 25.
This article examines the effect of delinquent peers on an individual's criminal activity by leveraging quasi-experimental variation in exposure to peers, separating confounding and causal effects. In particular, we examine the role of wider peer networks (i.e., classmates) as a critical source of influence on adolescents' delinquent behavior. Using a combined instrumental variables/fixed effects methodology, we address important methodological challenges in estimating peer effects. Results suggest that increasing the proportion of peers who engage in criminal activities by 5 percent will increase the likelihood an individual engages in criminal activities by 3 percentage points.
本文通过利用同龄人接触情况的准实验变化,区分混杂效应和因果效应,研究了不良同龄人对个体犯罪活动的影响。具体而言,我们考察更广泛的同龄人网络(即同学)作为青少年不良行为关键影响源的作用。我们采用工具变量与固定效应相结合的方法,应对了估计同龄人效应时的重要方法挑战。结果表明,从事犯罪活动的同龄人的比例增加5%,将使个体从事犯罪活动的可能性提高3个百分点。