Division of Nephrology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada;
Department of Medicine, Center for Health Evaluation and Outcomes Sciences, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
J Am Soc Nephrol. 2018 Apr;29(4):1301-1308. doi: 10.1681/ASN.2017111160. Epub 2018 Mar 8.
The factors underlying the decline in living kidney donation in the United States since 2005 must be understood to inform strategies to ensure access to this option for future patients. Population-based estimates provide a better assessment of donation activity than do trends in the number of living donor transplants. Using data from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients and the United States Census, we determined longitudinal changes in living kidney donation between 2005 and 2015, focusing on the effect of sex and income. We used multilevel Poisson models to adjust for differences in age, race, the incidence of ESRD, and geographic factors (including population density, urbanization, and daily commuting). During the study period, the unadjusted rate of donation was 30.1 and 19.3 per million population in women and men, respectively, and the adjusted incidence of donation was 44% higher in women (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 1.44; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.39 to 1.49). The incidence of donation was stable in women (IRR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.84 to 1.07) but declined in men (IRR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.68 to 0.83). Income was associated with longitudinal changes in donation in both sexes, yet donation was stable in the highest two population income quartiles in women but only in the highest income quartile in men. In both sexes, living related donations declined, irrespective of income. In conclusion, living donation declined in men but remained stable in women between 2005 and 2015, and income appeared to have a greater effect on living donation in men.
自 2005 年以来,美国活体肾脏捐献数量下降的原因必须加以了解,以便为未来的患者制定确保获得这一选择的策略。基于人群的估计比活体供者移植数量的趋势更能评估捐献活动。我们利用来自移植受者科学登记处和美国人口普查的数据,确定了 2005 年至 2015 年间活体肾脏捐献的纵向变化,重点关注性别和收入的影响。我们使用多水平泊松模型来调整年龄、种族、ESRD 发病率和地理因素(包括人口密度、城市化和日常通勤)的差异。在研究期间,未经调整的女性和男性的捐赠率分别为每百万人 30.1 人和 19.3 人,女性的调整后捐赠发病率高出 44%(发病率比 [IRR],1.44;95%置信区间 [95%CI],1.39 至 1.49)。女性的捐赠发病率保持稳定(IRR,0.95;95%CI,0.84 至 1.07),而男性的捐赠发病率则下降(IRR,0.75;95%CI,0.68 至 0.83)。收入与两性捐赠的纵向变化有关,但女性的前两个最高人口收入四分位数的捐赠保持稳定,而男性仅在最高收入四分位数的捐赠保持稳定。在两性中,无论收入如何,活体相关捐献都在下降。总之,2005 年至 2015 年间,男性的活体捐献下降,而女性的捐献保持稳定,收入对男性的活体捐献影响更大。