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跨界鱼类种群管理中的竞争与合作:动态模型的启示。

Competition or cooperation in transboundary fish stocks management: Insight from a dynamical model.

机构信息

Faculty of Mathematics, Mechanics, and Informatics, Vietnam National University, Hanoi, 334 Nguyen Trai, Thanh Xuan, Hanoi, Viet Nam.

Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD), UMI 209, UMMISCO, IRD France Nord, Bondy, F-93143, France; Universityé Sorbonne Université, UMI 209, UMMISCO, Paris, F-75005, France.

出版信息

J Theor Biol. 2018 Jun 14;447:1-11. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2018.03.017. Epub 2018 Mar 13.

Abstract

An idealized system of a shared fish stock associated with different exclusive economic zones (EEZ) is modelled. Parameters were estimated for the case of the small pelagic fisheries shared between Southern Morocco, Mauritania and the Senegambia. Two models of fishing effort distribution were explored. The first one considers independent national fisheries in each EEZ, with a cost per unit of fishing effort that depends on local fishery policy. The second one considers the case of a fully cooperative fishery performed by an international fleet freely moving across the borders. Both models are based on a set of six ordinary differential equations describing the time evolution of the fish biomass and the fishing effort. We take advantage of the two time scales to obtain a reduced model governing the total fish biomass of the system and fishing efforts in each zone. At the fast equilibrium, the fish distribution follows the ideal free distribution according to the carrying capacity in each area. Different equilibria can be reached according to management choices. When fishing fleets are independent and national fishery policies are not harmonized, in the general case, competition leads after a few decades to a scenario where only one fishery remains sustainable. In the case of sub-regional agreement acting on the adjustment of cost per unit of fishing effort in each EEZ, we found that a large number of equilibria exists. In this last case the initial distribution of fishing effort strongly impact the optimal equilibrium that can be reached. Lastly, the country with the highest carrying capacity density may get less landings when collaborating with other countries than if it minimises its fishing costs. The second fully cooperative model shows that a single international fishing fleet moving freely in the fishing areas leads to a sustainable equilibrium. Such findings should foster regional fisheries organizations to get potential new ways for neighbouring fish stock management.

摘要

建立了一个与不同专属经济区(EEZ)相关的共享鱼类种群的理想化系统。对摩洛哥南部、毛里塔尼亚和冈比亚之间的小型洄游鱼类渔业进行了参数估计。探索了两种捕捞努力分配模型。第一种模型考虑了每个 EEZ 中独立的国家渔业,其单位捕捞努力成本取决于当地渔业政策。第二种模型考虑了由自由穿越边界的国际船队进行的完全合作渔业的情况。这两种模型都是基于一组描述鱼类生物量和捕捞努力随时间演变的六个常微分方程。我们利用这两个时间尺度来获得一个简化模型,该模型可以控制系统的总鱼类生物量和每个区域的捕捞努力。在快速平衡时,鱼类的分布根据每个区域的承载能力遵循理想自由分布。根据管理选择,可以达到不同的平衡。当捕鱼船队独立且国家渔业政策不统一时,在一般情况下,竞争会导致几十年后只剩下一个渔业可持续发展的情况。在区域协议作用于调整每个 EEZ 的单位捕捞努力成本的情况下,我们发现存在大量的平衡。在后一种情况下,捕捞努力的初始分布会强烈影响可达到的最优平衡。最后,当与其他国家合作时,承载能力密度最高的国家的登陆量可能会比它最小化捕捞成本时要少。第二种完全合作的模型表明,一个在捕捞区自由移动的单一国际捕鱼船队可以实现可持续的平衡。这些发现应该鼓励区域渔业组织寻找新的方法来管理相邻的鱼类种群。

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