Department of Biostatistics and Informatics, Colorado School of Public Health, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO.
Adult and Child Consortium for Health Outcomes Research and Delivery Science, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO; Surgical Outcomes and Applied Research Program, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO.
Am J Infect Control. 2018 Nov;46(11):1230-1235. doi: 10.1016/j.ajic.2018.05.011. Epub 2018 Jun 12.
The objective of this study was to develop an algorithm for identifying surgical site infections (SSIs) using independent variables from electronic health record data and outcomes from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program to supplement manual chart review.
We fit 3 models to data from patients undergoing operations at the University of Colorado Hospital between 2013 and 2015: a similar model reported previously in the literature, a comprehensive model with 136 possible predictors, and a combination of those. All models used a generalized linear model with a lasso penalty. Several techniques for handling imbalance in the outcome were also used: Youden's J statistic to optimize the probability cutoff and sampling techniques combined with Youden's J. The models were then tested on data from patients undergoing operations during 2016.
Two hundred thirty of 6,840 patients (3.4%) had an SSI. The comprehensive model fit to the full set of training data performed the best, achieving 90% specificity, 80% sensitivity, and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.89.
We identified a model that accurately identified SSIs. The framework presented can be easily implemented by other American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program-participating hospitals to develop models for enhancing surveillance of SSIs.
本研究旨在开发一种使用电子健康记录数据中的自变量和美国外科医师学会全国手术质量改进计划的结果来识别手术部位感染(SSI)的算法,以补充手动图表审查。
我们使用 2013 年至 2015 年期间在科罗拉多大学医院接受手术的患者的数据拟合了 3 种模型:一种是文献中先前报道的类似模型,一种是包含 136 个可能预测因子的综合模型,还有一种是这两种模型的组合。所有模型均使用具有套索惩罚的广义线性模型。还使用了几种处理结果不平衡的技术:Youden 的 J 统计量来优化概率截止值和结合 Youden 的 J 的抽样技术。然后,我们在 2016 年接受手术的患者数据上测试了这些模型。
在 6840 名患者中有 230 名(3.4%)发生了 SSI。综合模型拟合全套训练数据的效果最佳,特异性为 90%,敏感性为 80%,接收器操作特征曲线下面积为 0.89。
我们确定了一种可以准确识别 SSI 的模型。所提出的框架可以由其他美国外科医师学会全国手术质量改进计划参与医院轻松实施,以开发用于增强 SSI 监测的模型。