Tufts University Civil and Environmental Engineering Department, Medford, Massachusetts.
Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2018 Aug;99(2):534-545. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.17-0897. Epub 2018 Jun 28.
Case-control studies are conducted to identify cholera transmission routes. Water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) exposures can facilitate cholera transmission (risk factors) or interrupt transmission (protective factors). To our knowledge, the association between WASH exposures and cholera from case-control studies has not been systematically analyzed. A systematic review was completed to close this gap, including describing the theory of risk and protection, developing inclusion criteria, searching and selecting studies, assessing quality of evidence, and summarizing associations between cholera and seven predicted WASH protective factors and eight predicted WASH risk factors using meta-analysis and sensitivity analysis. Overall, 47 articles describing 51 individual studies from 30 countries met the inclusion criteria. All eight predicted risk factors were associated with higher odds of cholera (odds ratio [OR] = 1.9-5.6), with heterogeneity () of 0-92%. Of the predicted protective factors, five of seven were associated with lower odds of cholera (OR = 0.35-1.4), with heterogeneity of 57-91%; exceptions were insignificant associations for improved water source (OR = 1.1, heterogeneity 91%) and improved sanitation (OR = 1.4, heterogeneity 68%). Results were robust; 3/70 (5%) associations changed directionality or significance in sensitivity analysis. Meta-analysis results highlight that predicted risk factors are associated with cholera; however, predicted protective factors are not as consistently protective. This variable protection is attributed to 1) cholera transmission via multiple routes and 2) WASH intervention implementation quality variation. Water, sanitation, and hygiene interventions should address multiple transmission routes and be well implemented, according to international guidance, to ensure that field effectiveness matches theoretical efficacy. In addition, future case-control studies should detail WASH characteristics to contextualize results.
病例对照研究用于确定霍乱传播途径。水、环境卫生和个人卫生(WASH)暴露可促进霍乱传播(危险因素)或中断传播(保护因素)。据我们所知,病例对照研究中 WASH 暴露与霍乱之间的关联尚未得到系统分析。本系统评价旨在填补这一空白,包括描述风险和保护理论、制定纳入标准、搜索和选择研究、评估证据质量,以及使用荟萃分析和敏感性分析总结霍乱与七个预测性 WASH 保护因素和八个预测性 WASH 危险因素之间的关联。总体而言,符合纳入标准的有 30 个国家的 47 篇文章,描述了 51 项独立研究。所有八个预测性危险因素都与霍乱的高发病几率相关(比值比 [OR] = 1.9-5.6),异质性为 0-92%。在预测性保护因素中,七个中有五个与较低的霍乱发病几率相关(OR = 0.35-1.4),异质性为 57-91%;改善水源(OR = 1.1,异质性 91%)和改善卫生设施(OR = 1.4,异质性 68%)的关联不显著。结果是稳健的;3/70(5%)关联在敏感性分析中改变了方向或显著性。荟萃分析结果突出表明,预测性危险因素与霍乱相关;然而,预测性保护因素并非始终具有保护作用。这种可变的保护归因于 1)多种传播途径导致的霍乱传播,以及 2)WASH 干预实施质量的变化。根据国际指南,水、环境卫生和个人卫生干预措施应针对多种传播途径,并得到良好实施,以确保现场效果与理论效果相匹配。此外,未来的病例对照研究应详细说明 WASH 特征,以对结果进行背景化。