Silviculture and Forest Ecology of the Temperate Zones, Forest Sciences, University of Göttingen, Büsgenweg 1, 37077 Göttingen, Germany.
Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute, University of Zürich, Hirschengraben 84, 8001 Zürich, Switzerland.
Accid Anal Prev. 2018 Nov;120:64-73. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2018.08.003. Epub 2018 Aug 7.
Wildlife-vehicle collisions cause human fatalities and enormous economic and ecological losses on roads worldwide. A variety of mitigation measures have been developed over the past decades to separate traffic and wildlife, warn humans, or prevent wildlife from entering a road while vehicles are passing by, but only few are economical enough to be applied comprehensively. One such measure, wildlife warning reflectors, has been implemented over the past five decades. However, their efficacy is questioned because of contradictory study results and the variety of applied study designs and reflector models. We used a prospective, randomized non-superiority cross-over study design to test our hypothesis of the inefficacy of modern wildlife warning reflectors. We analyzed wildlife-vehicle collisions on 151 testing sites of approximately 2 km in length each. During the 24-month study period, 1984 wildlife-vehicle collisions were recorded. Confirmatory primary and exploratory secondary analyses using a log-link Poisson mixed model with normal nested random intercepts of observation year in road segment, involved species, and variables of the road segment and the surrounding environment showed that reflectors did not lower the number of wildlife-vehicle collisions by a relevant amount. In addition, variables of the road segment and the surrounding environment did not indicate differential effects of wildlife warning reflectors. Based on our results, we conclude that wildlife warning reflectors are not an effective tool for mitigating wildlife-vehicle collisions on roads.
野生动物与车辆碰撞在全球道路上导致了人类伤亡和巨大的经济与生态损失。在过去几十年中,已经开发出了多种缓解措施,旨在将交通与野生动物分隔开、向人类发出警告或防止野生动物在车辆通过时进入道路,但这些措施中只有少数具有足够的经济性,可以得到全面应用。野生动物警告反射器就是这样一种措施,它已经在过去五十年中得到了应用。然而,由于研究结果相互矛盾,以及所采用的研究设计和反射器模型种类繁多,其效果受到了质疑。我们使用前瞻性、随机、非劣效性交叉研究设计来检验我们关于现代野生动物警告反射器无效的假设。我们分析了大约 2 公里长的 151 个测试点的野生动物与车辆碰撞事件。在 24 个月的研究期间,记录了 1984 起野生动物与车辆碰撞事件。使用带有正态嵌套随机截距的对数链接泊松混合模型进行确认性主要分析和探索性次要分析,这些随机截距包括道路段中的观测年份、涉及的物种以及道路段和周围环境的变量,结果表明反射器并没有显著减少野生动物与车辆碰撞的数量。此外,道路段和周围环境的变量也没有表明野生动物警告反射器具有不同的效果。基于我们的结果,我们得出结论,野生动物警告反射器不是减少道路上野生动物与车辆碰撞的有效工具。