Division of Respirology, Western University, London, ON, Canada.
Malattie Respiratorie, University of Rome "Tor Vergata", Rome, Italy.
Lung. 2018 Dec;196(6):707-713. doi: 10.1007/s00408-018-0152-4. Epub 2018 Aug 27.
The pathophysiology of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is complex, and its clinical course is difficult to predict. Perceived dyspnea, exercise capacity, and lung physiology have all been associated with mortality outcomes in IPF, but the significance of these relationships is unclear. We sought to investigate the correlation among these variables and their independent predictive capability in determining mortality outcomes.
Four-hundred-thirty-seven patients diagnosed with IPF from three independent centers were included in the study. Medical Research Council Dyspnea Score (MRCDS), 6-min walk distance (6MWD), and pulmonary function tests were determined at baseline. The end-point was 18-month transplant-free survival.
Correlations between MRCDS, 6MWD, forced vital capacity (FVC), and diffusing lung capacity for carbon monoxide were either very weak or weak. Calculation of variance inflation factors demonstrated absence of collinearity among these variables. Univariate regression analysis and c-statistics identified MRCDS, 6MWD, and FVC as significant predictors of 18-month transplant-free survival. Multivariate regression analysis retained MRCDS, 6MWD, and FVC as independent predictors of mortality. To ensure generalizability, we confirmed the results in subgroups of patients stratified according to baseline FVC, and further by considering lung transplant as a competing event to death.
In a cohort of patients with IPF encompassing a wide range of disease severity, baseline perceived exertional dyspnea, exercise capacity, and lung function are weakly correlated to each other, translating in the absence of collinearity. MRCDS, 6MWD, and FVC are significant and independent predictors of outcome, suggesting that a multi-dimensional assessment of IPF is prognostically appropriate and advantageous.
特发性肺纤维化(IPF)的病理生理学较为复杂,其临床病程难以预测。呼吸困难的感知、运动能力和肺生理机能均与 IPF 的死亡率结果相关,但这些关系的重要性尚不清楚。我们试图研究这些变量之间的相关性,以及它们在确定死亡率结果方面的独立预测能力。
本研究纳入了来自三个独立中心的 437 名确诊为 IPF 的患者。在基线时测定了英国医学研究理事会呼吸困难评分(MRCDS)、6 分钟步行距离(6MWD)和肺功能测试。终点为 18 个月无移植生存。
MRCDS、6MWD、用力肺活量(FVC)和一氧化碳弥散量之间的相关性要么非常弱,要么很弱。方差膨胀因子的计算表明这些变量之间不存在共线性。单变量回归分析和 C 统计量确定 MRCDS、6MWD 和 FVC 是 18 个月无移植生存的显著预测因子。多变量回归分析保留了 MRCDS、6MWD 和 FVC 作为死亡率的独立预测因子。为了确保通用性,我们在根据基线 FVC 分层的患者亚组中确认了结果,并进一步考虑将肺移植作为死亡的竞争事件。
在包含广泛疾病严重程度的 IPF 患者队列中,基线时的感知用力呼吸困难、运动能力和肺功能之间相关性很弱,不存在共线性。MRCDS、6MWD 和 FVC 是重要且独立的预后预测因子,这表明对 IPF 进行多维评估具有预后意义和优势。