Can the Plasma Concentration Ratio of Triglyceride/High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Identify Individuals at High Risk of Cardiovascular Disease During 40-Year Follow-Up?

BACKGROUND

The plasma concentration ratio of triglyceride (TG)/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) is a simple way to estimate insulin resistance. We aimed to evaluate the TG/HDL-C ratio as a simple clinical way to identify apparently healthy individuals with insulin resistance and enhanced risk of future cardiovascular disease (CVD).

METHODS

One thousand seven hundred twenty men, aged 50 years, free from diabetes and CVD when evaluated at baseline in 1970-1974 were followed for 40 years regarding incident CVD (myocardial infarction and/or ischemic stroke, n = 576).

RESULTS

Participants with a high TG/HDL-C ratio (highest quartile >1.8) at baseline were more insulin resistant, with a significantly more adverse cardiometabolic risk profile (P < 0.001) at baseline, compared with those with a lower ratio. This group also showed an increased risk of CVD [hazard ratio, HR 1.47 (95% confidence interval 1.26-1.93) P < 0.001]. Fourteen percent of subjects with metabolic syndrome, in whom insulin resistance is increased, were also at enhanced CVD risk [HR 1.75 (1.42-2.16) P < 0.001].

CONCLUSIONS

Twenty-five percent of apparently healthy 50-year-old men with the highest TG/HDL-C plasma concentration ratio had a significantly more adverse cardiometabolic profile at baseline, and developed more CVD over the next 40 years, compared with those not meeting this cut point. Determining the TG/HDL-C ratio in middle-aged men provided a simple and potentially clinically useful way to identify increased risk of developing CVD in persons free of diabetes or manifest CVD.