Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Zhejiang University School of Public Health, C217 Academic Building, 866 Yuhangtang Road, Xihu District, Hangzhou, 310058, Zhejiang, China.
Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Yinzhou District, Ningbo, Zhejiang, 315100, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2018 Nov;25(33):33548-33555. doi: 10.1007/s11356-018-3286-2. Epub 2018 Sep 29.
Although a growing number of epidemiological studies have been conducted on size-specific health effects of particulate matter in China, results remain inconsistent. In this study, we investigated acute effect of fine and coarse particular matter on cardiovascular hospital visits in Ningbo, China. We used generalized additive models to examine short-term effects of PM and PM on cardiovascular hospital visits by adjustment for temporal, seasonal, and meteorological effects. Subgroup analyses were conducted by age, sex, and season. We also examined the stability of their effects in multi-pollutant models. We found that PM were associated with cardiovascular hospital visits (RR = 1.006; 95% CI 1.000, 1.011) and results remained similar after adjustment for PM (RR = 1.005; 95% CI 0.998, 1.013). There was a borderline association between PM and cardiovascular hospital visits (RR = 1.007; 95% CI 0.997, 1.016), which disappeared after controlling for PM (RR = 1.000; 95% CI 0.988, 1.013). The associations appeared to be stronger in the cold season and among the elderly (≥ 75 years). The findings of this study suggested significant adverse effects of PM, but no independent effects of PM on cardiovascular hospital visits. Additional studies are needed to confirm these findings.
尽管中国已经开展了越来越多的关于颗粒物对特定大小的健康影响的流行病学研究,但结果仍不一致。在这项研究中,我们研究了细颗粒物和粗颗粒物对中国宁波心血管医院就诊的急性影响。我们使用广义加性模型,通过调整时间、季节和气象效应来检验 PM 和 PM 对心血管医院就诊的短期影响。通过年龄、性别和季节进行了亚组分析。我们还检查了它们在多污染物模型中的影响的稳定性。我们发现 PM 与心血管医院就诊有关(RR=1.006;95%CI 1.000,1.011),并且在调整 PM 后结果仍然相似(RR=1.005;95%CI 0.998,1.013)。PM 与心血管医院就诊之间存在边缘关联(RR=1.007;95%CI 0.997,1.016),在控制 PM 后这种关联消失(RR=1.000;95%CI 0.988,1.013)。在寒冷季节和老年人(≥75 岁)中,这种关联似乎更强。本研究的结果表明 PM 有显著的不良影响,但 PM 对心血管医院就诊没有独立影响。需要进一步的研究来证实这些发现。