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具有移民和感染年龄的乙型肝炎传播模型的动力学分析

Dynamical analysis for a hepatitis B transmission model with immigration and infection age.

作者信息

Zhang Suxia, Guo Hongbin, Smith Robert

机构信息

School of Science, Xi'an University of Technology, Xi'an 710048, China.

出版信息

Math Biosci Eng. 2018 Dec 1;15(6):1291-1313. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2018060.

Abstract

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is responsible for an estimated 378 million infections worldwide and 620, 000 deaths annually. Safe and effective vaccination programs have been available for decades, but coverage is limited due to economic and social factors. We investigate the effect of immigration and infection age on HBV transmission dynamics, incorporating age-dependent immigration flow and vertical transmission. The mathematical model can be used to describe HBV transmission in highly endemic regions with vertical transmission and migration of infected HBV individuals. Due to the effects of immigration, there is no disease-free equilibrium or reproduction number. We show that the unique endemic equilibrium exists only when immigration into the infective class is measurable. The smoothness and attractiveness of the solution semiflow are analyzed, and boundedness and uniform persistence are determined. Global stability of the unique endemic equilibrium is shown by a Lyapunov functional for a special case.

摘要

乙型肝炎病毒(HBV)在全球估计导致3.78亿人感染,每年造成62万人死亡。安全有效的疫苗接种计划已经存在了几十年,但由于经济和社会因素,覆盖率有限。我们研究移民和感染年龄对HBV传播动态的影响,纳入年龄依赖性移民流和垂直传播。该数学模型可用于描述在存在垂直传播和感染HBV个体迁移的高度流行地区的HBV传播。由于移民的影响,不存在无病平衡点或繁殖数。我们表明,只有当进入感染类别的移民可测量时,才存在唯一的地方病平衡点。分析了解半流的光滑性和吸引性,并确定了有界性和一致持续性。对于一个特殊情况,通过李雅普诺夫泛函证明了唯一地方病平衡点的全局稳定性。

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