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游轮上的肠胃炎疫情:卫生检查分数是风险的真实指标吗?

Gastroenteritis outbreaks on cruise ships: are sanitation inspection scores a true index of risk?

作者信息

Taylor Christopher James

机构信息

Cruise Ship Physician, Woodborough, Nottinghamshire, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Int Marit Health. 2018;69(4):225-232. doi: 10.5603/IMH.2018.0037.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The utility of cruise ship sanitation scores as indicators of future gastroenteritis outbreak was investigated by means of a 5-year review of inspection scores and outbreaks of gastroenteritis as reported under the Vessel Sanitation Programme of the United States Public Health Centers for Disease Control.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Between 2012 and 2017 a total of 1197 inspections were published online, with a mean score of 95.7 out of 100. During the same interval there were 50 separate outbreaks of acute gastroenteritis.

RESULTS

No significant difference was found between pre-outbreak inspection scores, mean 96.4, and inspections that were not followed by an outbreak, mean 95.1 (z = 0.81, p = 0.42).

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows that the current format of the inspection audits carried out under the Vessel Sanitation Programme generates scores that have no prognostic value with regard to future outbreaks of gastroenteritis on board cruise ships.

摘要

背景

通过对美国疾病控制公共卫生中心船舶卫生计划报告的检查分数和胃肠炎疫情进行为期5年的回顾,研究了游轮卫生分数作为未来胃肠炎疫情指标的效用。

材料与方法

2012年至2017年期间,共1197次检查结果在线公布,平均分数为满分100分中的95.7分。在同一时期,共发生了50起急性胃肠炎疫情。

结果

疫情爆发前的检查平均分数为96.4分,未发生疫情的检查平均分数为95.1分,两者之间未发现显著差异(z = 0.81,p = 0.42)。

结论

本研究表明,根据船舶卫生计划进行的检查审计的当前形式所产生的分数,对于未来游轮上胃肠炎的爆发没有预测价值。

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