Suppr超能文献

结合捕获-再捕获数据和已知年龄可以估计年龄依赖性生存率。

Combining capture-recapture data and known ages allows estimation of age-dependent survival rates.

作者信息

Bird Tomas, Lyon Jarod, Wotherspoon Simon, Todd Charles, Tonkin Zeb, McCarthy Michael

机构信息

Department of Botany Center for Excellence in Environmental Decisions University of Melbourne Melbourne Vic. Australia.

Department of Fisheries and Oceans NorthWest Atlantic Fisheries Centre St John's Newfoundland Canada.

出版信息

Ecol Evol. 2018 Dec 27;9(1):90-99. doi: 10.1002/ece3.4633. eCollection 2019 Jan.

Abstract

In many animal populations, demographic parameters such as survival and recruitment vary markedly with age, as do parameters related to sampling, such as capture probability. Failing to account for such variation can result in biased estimates of population-level rates. However, estimating age-dependent survival rates can be challenging because ages of individuals are rarely known unless tagging is done at birth. For many species, it is possible to infer age based on size. In capture-recapture studies of such species, it is possible to use a growth model to infer the age at first capture of individuals. We show how to build estimates of age-dependent survival into a capture-mark-recapture model based on data obtained in a capture-recapture study. We first show how estimates of age based on length increments closely match those based on definitive aging methods. In simulated analyses, we show that both individual ages and age-dependent survival rates estimated from simulated data closely match true values. With our approach, we are able to estimate the age-specific apparent survival rates of Murray and trout cod in the Murray River, Australia. Our model structure provides a flexible framework within which to investigate various aspects of how survival varies with age and will have extensions within a wide range of ecological studies of animals where age can be estimated based on size.

摘要

在许多动物种群中,诸如生存和补充等种群统计学参数会随年龄显著变化,与抽样相关的参数(如捕获概率)也是如此。未能考虑到这种变化可能导致对种群水平速率的估计出现偏差。然而,估计年龄依赖性生存率可能具有挑战性,因为除非在出生时进行标记,否则个体的年龄很少是已知的。对于许多物种而言,可以根据体型推断年龄。在此类物种的标记重捕研究中,有可能使用生长模型来推断个体首次被捕获时的年龄。我们展示了如何基于在标记重捕研究中获得的数据,将年龄依赖性生存估计纳入标记重捕模型。我们首先展示基于长度增量的年龄估计与基于确定性老化方法的估计如何紧密匹配。在模拟分析中,我们表明从模拟数据估计的个体年龄和年龄依赖性生存率都与真实值紧密匹配。通过我们的方法,我们能够估计澳大利亚墨累河中华墨累鲈和鳟鳕的年龄特异性表观生存率。我们的模型结构提供了一个灵活的框架,可用于研究生存如何随年龄变化的各个方面,并且在广泛的动物生态研究中具有扩展应用,在这些研究中可以根据体型估计年龄。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9866/6342135/ca9a56483b38/ECE3-9-90-g001.jpg

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验