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印度的工业有多安全?用捕获再捕获法确定印度达德拉和纳加尔哈维利的工伤情况。

How Safe Are Industries in India? Ascertaining Industrial Injuries in Dadra and Nagar Haveli, India by Capture-Recapture Method.

作者信息

Yadav Sajjan S

机构信息

Secretary Health, Daman and Diu and Dadra and Nagar Haveli, Moti Daman, Daman and Diu, India.

出版信息

Indian J Occup Environ Med. 2019 Jan-Apr;23(1):15-20. doi: 10.4103/ijoem.IJOEM_190_18.

Abstract

CONTEXT

Every year, more than 4 million people die from injuries worldwide. India reported 413,457 deaths due to unintentional injuries in 2015. Manufacturing industry is a major contributor to injury morbidity and mortality.

AIMS

This study aims to estimate the burden of industrial injuries in Dadra and Nagar Haveli, India.

SETTINGS AND DESIGN

Dadra and Nagar Haveli is a small territory spread over 491 sq. km, having a population of 343,709 as per 2011 population census.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

The two-sample capture-recapture method was used for ascertainment of fatal and non-fatal injuries reported from 1 January to 31 December 2017. The first capture was data of injuries extracted from First Information Reports registered by the police. The recapture was data of injuries reported by the government health facilities.

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS USED

Chapman estimator was used to derive total fatal and non-fatal injuries. An analysis was done using Microsoft Excel software.

RESULTS

According to police records, there were nine fatal and eight non-fatal injuries during the study period. Health facilities reported 21 fatal and 113 non-fatal injuries. Six cases of fatal and 3 cases of non-fatal injuries were found in both the data sources. The capture-recapture analysis estimated 30 fatal (95% CI: 20 to 40) and 225 non-fatal injuries (95% CI: 90 to 420).

CONCLUSIONS

Both records of police and government health facilities underestimate fatal and non-fatal injuries with under-reporting more pronounced in police records.

摘要

背景

全球每年有超过400万人死于伤害。印度2015年报告了413457例意外伤害死亡。制造业是伤害发病率和死亡率的主要促成因素。

目的

本研究旨在估算印度达德拉和纳加尔哈维利地区的工伤负担。

设置与设计

达德拉和纳加尔哈维利是一个面积为491平方公里的小地区,根据2011年人口普查,人口为343709人。

方法与材料

采用两样本捕获再捕获法确定2017年1月1日至12月31日报告的致命和非致命伤害。第一次捕获是从警方登记的第一份信息报告中提取的伤害数据。再捕获是政府卫生机构报告的伤害数据。

使用的统计分析

采用查普曼估计量得出致命和非致命伤害的总数。使用微软Excel软件进行分析。

结果

根据警方记录,研究期间有9例致命伤害和8例非致命伤害。卫生机构报告了21例致命伤害和113例非致命伤害。在两个数据源中均发现6例致命伤害和3例非致命伤害。捕获再捕获分析估计有30例致命伤害(95%可信区间:20至40)和225例非致命伤害(95%可信区间:90至420)。

结论

警方和政府卫生机构的记录均低估了致命和非致命伤害,警方记录中的漏报更为明显。

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引用本文的文献

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