Paudel Gokul P, Kc Dilli Bahadur, Rahut Dil Bahadur, Justice Scott E, McDonald Andrew J
International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center, Kathmandu, Nepal.
International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center, El Batan, Mexico.
Land use policy. 2019 Jun;85:104-113. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.03.030.
Smallholder farmers in the mid-hills of Nepal are facing an acute labor shortage due to out-migration which, in general, has affected the capacity to achieve timely crop establishment, harvest, and inter-cultural operations. These effects are more visible in the case of labor-intensive crops such as rice and promoting higher levels of rural mechanization has emerged as the primary policy response option. Nevertheless, quantitative evidence for the ability of mechanization to offset the adverse effects of shortages increasing labor prices in these systems is largely absent. This study investigates the impacts associated with adoption of mini-tillers (5 to 9 horsepower) for land preparation on smallholder rice productivity in the mid-hills of Nepal. We use an endogenous switching regression that accounts for both observed and unobserved sources of heterogeneity between mini-tiller adopters and non-adopters. Findings demonstrate that rising on-farm rural wage rates and an emerging decline in draft animal availability are driving adoption of the mini-tiller. Among users, the mini-tiller increased rice productivity by 1,110 kg/ha (27%). Further, regression results suggest that mini-tiller non-adopters would be able to increase their rice productivity by 1,250 kg/ha (26%) if they adopt. Moreover, our analysis revealed that very small farms (≤0.25 ha) that adopt mini-tillers are benefited the most in terms of gains in rice productivity. These findings support policies that favor the expansion of small-scale mechanization in the hill production ecologies of South Asia and highlight the need to foster the emergence of an associated service economy that will permit smallholders access to capital-intensive machinery such as the mini-tiller.
尼泊尔中部山区的小农户正面临着严重的劳动力短缺,这是由人口外流造成的,总体而言,这影响了及时进行作物种植、收获和间作管理的能力。在水稻等劳动密集型作物的种植中,这些影响更为明显,提高农村机械化水平已成为主要的政策应对选项。然而,关于机械化能否抵消这些系统中劳动力短缺和劳动力价格上涨带来的不利影响,目前还缺乏定量证据。本研究调查了在尼泊尔中部山区采用小型耕耘机(5至9马力)进行土地整地对小农户水稻生产力的影响。我们使用了内生转换回归模型,该模型考虑了小型耕耘机采用者和非采用者之间观察到的和未观察到的异质性来源。研究结果表明,农场农村工资率的上升和役畜数量的逐渐减少促使了小型耕耘机的采用。在使用者中,小型耕耘机使水稻产量提高了1110公斤/公顷(27%)。此外,回归结果表明,如果小型耕耘机非采用者采用该设备,他们的水稻产量将能够提高1250公斤/公顷(26%)。此外,我们的分析表明,采用小型耕耘机的超小农场(≤0.25公顷)在水稻产量增长方面受益最大。这些研究结果支持了有利于在南亚山区生产生态系统中扩大小规模机械化的政策,并强调需要培育相关服务经济的出现,以便小农户能够获得诸如小型耕耘机等资本密集型机械。