a School of Science , Bengbu University , Bengbu , People's Republic of China.
J Biol Dyn. 2019 Dec;13(1):461-480. doi: 10.1080/17513758.2019.1631965.
A delayed SEIR epidemic model with saturated incidence and saturated treatment function is considered in this paper. Sufficient conditions for the existence of local Hopf bifurcation are established by regarding the possible combination of the two delays as the bifurcation parameter. General formula for the direction, period and stability of the bifurcated periodic solutions are derived by using the normal form method and the centre manifold theory. Finally, some numerical simulations are given to illustrate the obtained results.
本文考虑了一个具有饱和发病率和饱和治疗功能的延迟 SEIR 传染病模型。通过将两个延迟的可能组合作为分岔参数,建立了局部 Hopf 分岔存在的充分条件。利用规范形方法和中心流形理论,推导出了分支周期解的方向、周期和稳定性的一般公式。最后,给出了一些数值模拟结果来说明所得到的结果。