Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
BMJ Open. 2019 Jun 28;9(6):e030183. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2019-030183.
The majority (>90%) of new or undiagnosed cases of hepatitis B virus (HBV) in the UK are among individuals born in countries with intermediate or high prevalence levels (≥2%). We evaluate the cost-effectiveness of increased HBV case-finding among UK migrant populations, based on a one-time opt out case-finding approach in a primary care setting.
Cost-effectiveness evaluation. A decision model based on a Markov approach was built to assess the progression of HBV infection with and without treatment as a result of case-finding. The model parameters, including the cost and effects of case-finding and treatment, were estimated from the literature. All costs were expressed in 2017/2018 British Pounds (GBPs) and health outcomes as quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs).
Hepatitis B virus case-finding among UK migrant populations born in countries with intermediate or high prevalence levels (≥2%) in a primary care setting compared with no intervention (background testing).
At a 2% hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) prevalence, the case-finding intervention led to a mean incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of £13 625 per QALY gained which was 87% and 98% likely of being cost-effective at willingness to pay (WTP) thresholds of £20 000 and £30 000 per additional QALY, respectively. Sensitivity analyses indicated that the intervention would remain cost-effective under a £20 000 WTP threshold as long as HBsAg prevalence among the migrant population is at least 1%. However, the results were sensitive to a number of parameters, especially the time horizon and probability of treatment uptake.
HBV case-finding using a one-time opt out approach in primary care settings is very likely to be cost-effective among UK migrant populations with HBsAg prevalence ≥1% if the WTP for an additional QALY is around £20 000.
在英国,超过 90%的新发或未确诊的乙型肝炎病毒(HBV)病例出现在高流行水平(≥2%)国家出生的人群中。我们基于初级保健环境下的一次性选择退出病例发现方法,评估增加英国移民人群中 HBV 病例发现的成本效益。
成本效益评估。基于马尔可夫方法的决策模型被构建以评估因病例发现而导致的 HBV 感染的进展情况,包括治疗和不治疗两种情况。模型参数包括来自文献的病例发现和治疗的成本和效果。所有成本均以 2017/2018 年英镑(GBP)表示,健康结果以质量调整生命年(QALY)表示。
在初级保健环境中对高流行水平(≥2%)国家出生的英国移民人群进行 HBV 病例发现,与不干预(背景检测)相比。
在 HBsAg 流行率为 2%的情况下,病例发现干预导致每获得一个质量调整生命年(QALY)的增量成本效益比为 13625 英镑,在支付意愿(WTP)阈值分别为 20000 英镑和 30000 英镑时,分别有 87%和 98%的可能性具有成本效益。敏感性分析表明,只要移民人群中的 HBsAg 流行率至少为 1%,该干预措施在 20000 英镑的 WTP 阈值下仍将具有成本效益。然而,结果对许多参数敏感,特别是时间范围和治疗接受率的概率。
在 HBsAg 流行率≥1%的情况下,英国移民人群中使用初级保健环境下的一次性选择退出方法进行 HBV 病例发现,如果每增加一个 QALY 的支付意愿在 20000 英镑左右,则非常有可能具有成本效益。