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神经内分泌肿瘤患者的竞争死亡率。

Competing Mortality in Patients With Neuroendocrine Tumors.

机构信息

Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, School of Medicine, Taylor's University, Selangor, Malaysia.

Online Research Club, Nagasaki, Japan.

出版信息

Am J Clin Oncol. 2019 Aug;42(8):668-674. doi: 10.1097/COC.0000000000000575.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Patients with neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) are at increased risk of mortality from competing causes in light of the improvement in overall survival over recent decades. The purpose of this study was to explore the competing causes of deaths and the risk factors associated with competing mortality.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database was used to identify patients diagnosed with NETs between 1973 and 2015. Risk of competing mortality was estimated by the standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and by using the Fine and Gray multivariate regression model.

RESULTS

Of the 29,981 NET patients, 42.5% of the deaths that occurred during follow-up were attributed to competing causes (83.9% from noncancer causes and 16.1% from second primary neoplasms). Overall SMR of competing mortality was 2.50 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.43-2.56). The SMR of noncancer causes was 2.65 (95% CI: 2.58-2.73), with the highest risk present within the first year of diagnosis. The SMR of second primary neoplasms was 1.91 (95% CI: 1.79-2.04), with the highest risk observed after 10-year postdiagnosis. A drastic rise in competing mortality was observed in the last decade between 2005 and 2015. Advanced age, black race, small intestinal and gastric NETs, and surgery were significantly associated with competing mortality. Female, pancreatic and recto-anal NETs, distant and regional spread, chemotherapy and radiotherapy were significantly associated with lower competing mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Competing mortality plays an increasingly significant role over the years and may hamper efforts made to improve survival outcomes in NET patients.

摘要

目的

由于近几十年来总体生存率的提高,神经内分泌肿瘤(NET)患者因其他原因导致死亡的风险增加。本研究旨在探讨死亡的竞争原因和与竞争死亡率相关的危险因素。

材料和方法

利用监测、流行病学和最终结果数据库(Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database),确定了 1973 年至 2015 年间诊断为 NET 的患者。通过标准化死亡率比(Standardized Mortality Ratios,SMRs)和 Fine 和 Gray 多变量回归模型来估计竞争死亡率的风险。

结果

在 29981 例 NET 患者中,随访期间发生的死亡中有 42.5%归因于竞争原因(83.9%来自非癌症原因,16.1%来自第二原发肿瘤)。总的竞争死亡率的 SMR 为 2.50(95%置信区间[Confidence Interval,CI]:2.43-2.56)。非癌症原因的 SMR 为 2.65(95%CI:2.58-2.73),诊断后第一年风险最高。第二原发肿瘤的 SMR 为 1.91(95%CI:1.79-2.04),诊断后 10 年观察到的风险最高。在 2005 年至 2015 年的最后十年中,竞争死亡率急剧上升。高龄、黑种人、小肠和胃 NET 以及手术与竞争死亡率显著相关。女性、胰腺和直肠肛门 NET、远处和区域扩散、化疗和放疗与较低的竞争死亡率显著相关。

结论

竞争死亡率多年来发挥着越来越重要的作用,可能会阻碍提高 NET 患者生存结果的努力。

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