Faculty of Geosciences, Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, PO Box 80.115, 3508 TC, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Department of Subsurface and Groundwater Systems, Deltares Research Institute, PO Box 85467, 3508 AL, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Nat Commun. 2019 Aug 28;10(1):3847. doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-11602-1.
Deltas are low-relief landforms that are extremely vulnerable to sea-level rise. Impact assessments of relative sea-level rise in deltas primarily depend on elevation data accuracy and how well the vertical datum matches local sea level. Unfortunately, many major deltas are located in data-sparse regions, forcing researchers and policy makers to use low-resolution, global elevation data obtained from satellite platforms. Using a new, high-accuracy elevation model of the Vietnamese Mekong delta, we show that quality of global elevation data is insufficient and underscore the cruciality to convert to local tidal datum, which is often neglected. The novel elevation model shows that the Mekong delta has an extremely low mean elevation of ~0.8 m above sea level, dramatically lower than the earlier assumed ~2.6 m. Our results imply major uncertainties in sea-level rise impact assessments for the Mekong delta and deltas worldwide, with errors potentially larger than a century of sea-level rise.
三角洲是低海拔的地形,极易受到海平面上升的影响。评估相对海平面上升对三角洲的影响主要取决于海拔数据的准确性以及垂直基准面与当地海平面的匹配程度。不幸的是,许多主要的三角洲都位于数据稀疏的地区,这迫使研究人员和政策制定者使用来自卫星平台的低分辨率、全球海拔数据。利用越南湄公河三角洲新的高精度海拔模型,我们表明全球海拔数据的质量是不足的,并强调转换到当地潮汐基准面的重要性,而这通常被忽视了。新的海拔模型表明,湄公河三角洲的平均海拔高度极低,约为海平面以上 0.8 米,明显低于之前假设的 2.6 米。我们的研究结果表明,湄公河三角洲和全球其他三角洲的海平面上升影响评估存在重大不确定性,误差可能超过一个世纪的海平面上升。