Afonso Tiago Lopes, Marques António Cardoso, Fuinhas José Alberto
University of Beira Interior, Management and Economics Department, Rua Marques d'Ávila e Bolama, 6201-001, Covilhã, Portugal.
NECE-UBI, Management and Economics Department, Rua Marques d'Ávila e Bolama, 6201-001, Covilhã, Portugal.
Heliyon. 2019 Aug 24;5(8):e02354. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2019.e02354. eCollection 2019 Aug.
The Portuguese and the Spanish electricity generation systems are analysed in this paper. The Iberian market has been isolated and has an increasing proportion of renewable sources. The main objective of this study is to understand how electricity generation sources are interacting with electricity wholesale prices. The VAR approach was used because of its high robustness to cope with the endogeneity detected by Granger block Exogeneity tests. To do this, workweek data recorded since the opening of the Iberian market (July 2, 2007) was used. Despite the geographical proximity of the countries and their access to natural resources, the results provide empirical evidence of different modes of interaction in the market. This outcome could be due to the different sizes of the national systems. The Portuguese electricity generating system does not have an extensive structure to share back-up with Spain via conventional sources. Spain's substantial generation structure could be used to provide intermittent back-up generation for Portugal. Considering the similar supply and demand patterns of the Iberian generation systems, their openness to the other markets with different consumption and generation patterns could allow a more rational utilization of the renewables already deployed and, consequently, bring greater efficiency to the Iberian electricity market.
本文分析了葡萄牙和西班牙的发电系统。伊比利亚市场一直处于孤立状态,且可再生能源所占比例不断增加。本研究的主要目的是了解发电来源如何与电力批发价格相互作用。采用向量自回归(VAR)方法是因为其在应对格兰杰块外生性检验所检测到的内生性方面具有很高的稳健性。为此,使用了自伊比利亚市场开放(2007年7月2日)以来记录的工作周数据。尽管两国地理位置相近且都有自然资源可利用,但结果提供了市场中不同相互作用模式的实证证据。这一结果可能归因于国家系统规模的差异。葡萄牙发电系统没有广泛的结构通过传统能源与西班牙共享备用电力。西班牙庞大的发电结构可用于为葡萄牙提供间歇性备用发电。考虑到伊比利亚发电系统相似的供需模式,它们对具有不同消费和发电模式的其他市场的开放度,可能会使已部署的可再生能源得到更合理的利用,从而提高伊比利亚电力市场的效率。