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高温天气与儿童溺水风险:预防的机会。

Hot weather and risk of drowning in children: Opportunity for prevention.

机构信息

Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, School of Public Health, University of Montreal, 2375, Côte-Ste-Catherine Road, Montreal, Quebec H3T 1A8, Canada; Institut national de santé publique du Québec, 190 Cremazie Blvd E., Montreal, Quebec H2P 1E2, Canada.

National Collaborating Centre for Environmental Health, British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, 655 West 12th Avenue, Vancouver, British Columbia V5Z 4R4, Canada.

出版信息

Prev Med. 2020 Jan;130:105885. doi: 10.1016/j.ypmed.2019.105885. Epub 2019 Nov 6.

Abstract

The link between outdoor temperature and risk of drowning in children is poorly understood. The objective of this study was to determine the association between elevated temperature and the chance of drowning in children and adolescents. We used a case-crossover study design to assess 807 fatal and nonfatal drowning-related hospitalisations among children aged 0 to 19 years in Quebec, Canada between 1989 and 2015. The primary exposure measure was maximum temperature the day of drowning. We estimated odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association of temperature with drowning by age group (<2, 2-4, 5-9, 10-19 years), adjusted for precipitation, relative humidity, and holidays. Elevated temperature was associated with greater odds of drowning. Compared with 15 °C, a temperature of 30 °C was associated with 6 times the chance of drowning between 0 and 19 years of age (95% CI 4.40-8.16). The association was not modified by characteristics such as age or location of drowning. Relative to 15 °C, a temperature of 30 °C was associated with 3.75 times the odds of drowning in pools (95% CI 1.85-7.63) and 12.44 times the odds of drowning in other bodies of water (95% CI 3.53-43.81). Associations persisted even after implementation of a policy to restrict access to private pools in 2010. These findings suggest that hot weather is strongly associated with the risk of drowning in children aged 0 to 19 years. Interventions to prevent drowning in children should be enhanced during hot days, and not only around pools.

摘要

户外温度与儿童溺水风险之间的关系尚未得到充分了解。本研究旨在确定高温与儿童和青少年溺水风险之间的关联。我们使用病例交叉研究设计,评估了 1989 年至 2015 年间加拿大魁北克省 0 至 19 岁儿童的 807 例致命和非致命与溺水相关的住院治疗。主要暴露测量指标为溺水当天的最高温度。我们按年龄组(<2 岁、2-4 岁、5-9 岁、10-19 岁),调整了降水、相对湿度和节假日等因素,估计了温度与溺水之间关联的比值比和 95%置信区间(CI)。高温与溺水的几率增加有关。与 15°C 相比,30°C 的温度与 0 至 19 岁儿童溺水的几率增加 6 倍(95%CI 4.40-8.16)。这种关联不受年龄或溺水地点等特征的影响。与 15°C 相比,30°C 的温度与游泳池溺水的几率增加 3.75 倍(95%CI 1.85-7.63),与其他水体溺水的几率增加 12.44 倍(95%CI 3.53-43.81)。即使在 2010 年实施限制私人游泳池进入的政策后,这些关联仍然存在。这些发现表明,炎热的天气与 0 至 19 岁儿童溺水的风险密切相关。在炎热的天气中,应加强针对儿童溺水的干预措施,而不仅仅是在游泳池周围。

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