气候临界点——押注反对风险太大。 - Suppr

Climate tipping points - too risky to bet against.

作者信息

Lenton Timothy M, Rockström Johan, Gaffney Owen, Rahmstorf Stefan, Richardson Katherine, Steffen Will, Schellnhuber Hans Joachim

出版信息

Nature. 2019 Nov;575(7784):592-595. doi: 10.1038/d41586-019-03595-0.

DOI:10.1038/d41586-019-03595-0

PMID:31776487

Abstract

摘要

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本文引用的文献

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Nature. 2019 Jul;571(7765):335-342. doi: 10.1038/s41586-019-1368-z. Epub 2019 Jul 17.

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Sci Adv. 2019 Jun 19;5(6):eaav9396. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aav9396. eCollection 2019 Jun.

Cascading regime shifts within and across scales.

Science. 2018 Dec 21;362(6421):1379-1383. doi: 10.1126/science.aat7850.

Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2018 Aug 14;115(33):8252-8259. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1810141115. Epub 2018 Aug 6.

Observed fingerprint of a weakening Atlantic Ocean overturning circulation.

Nature. 2018 Apr;556(7700):191-196. doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0006-5. Epub 2018 Apr 11.

Amazon Tipping Point.

Sci Adv. 2018 Feb 21;4(2):eaat2340. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aat2340. eCollection 2018 Feb.

Observational constraints on mixed-phase clouds imply higher climate sensitivity.

Science. 2016 Apr 8;352(6282):224-7. doi: 10.1126/science.aad5300.

Collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet after local destabilization of the Amundsen Basin.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2015 Nov 17;112(46):14191-6. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1512482112. Epub 2015 Nov 2.

Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2015 Oct 27;112(43):E5777-86. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1511451112. Epub 2015 Oct 12.

Climate tipping points - too risky to bet against.

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