World Health Organization (WHO) Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.
These authors are joint senior authors with equal contribution.
Euro Surveill. 2020 Jan;25(3). doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.3.2000044.
A novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) causing severe acute respiratory disease emerged recently in Wuhan, China. Information on reported cases strongly indicates human-to-human spread, and the most recent information is increasingly indicative of sustained human-to-human transmission. While the overall severity profile among cases may change as more mild cases are identified, we estimate a risk of fatality among hospitalised cases at 14% (95% confidence interval: 3.9-32%).
一种新型冠状病毒（2019-nCoV）导致的严重急性呼吸道疾病最近在中国武汉出现。有关报告病例的信息强烈表明存在人际传播，而最新信息越来越表明存在持续的人际传播。虽然随着更多轻症病例的发现，病例的整体严重程度可能会发生变化，但我们估计住院病例的病死率为 14%（95%置信区间：3.9-32%）。
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