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空气污染对儿童随父母迁移的影响:来自中国的证据。

The effect of air pollution on children's migration with parents: evidence from China.

机构信息

School of Management Science and Engineering, Hunan University of Finance and Economics, Changsha, 410205, Hunan Province, China.

Business School, Xiangtan University, Xiangtan City, 411105, Hunan Province, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Apr;27(11):12499-12513. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-07831-3. Epub 2020 Jan 29.

Abstract

Population migration and air pollution are inevitable problems in the process of urbanisation. With the continuous advancement of urbanisation, the trends in family migration have become more prominent, and children's migration with parents has become an important indicator reflecting the speed, structure, and quality of urbanisation. Our analysis relies on data from China Migrants Dynamic Survey to estimate the effect of air pollution on children's migration with parents. After using the instrumental variables to correct the possible endogeneity, we found that air pollution has a significant negative effect on children's migration with parents. Through further analysis, air pollution mainly affects migrant children by reducing the settlement intention of the migrants, the house purchase tendency in the influx city, and the income level. After replacing the independent variables, using narrow samples, and considering heterogeneity differences, this paper's conclusions remain robust. Therefore, in the process of urbanisation development, it is important to coordinate the relationship between the environment and the population, and it has an important significance to delay the demographic dividend recession and promote sustainable economic development in developing countries.

摘要

人口迁移和空气污染是城市化进程中不可避免的问题。随着城市化的不断推进,家庭迁移的趋势变得更加突出,儿童随父母迁移成为反映城市化速度、结构和质量的重要指标。我们的分析基于中国流动人口动态监测调查的数据,以评估空气污染对儿童随父母迁移的影响。在使用工具变量纠正可能的内生性后,我们发现空气污染对儿童随父母迁移有显著的负向影响。通过进一步分析,空气污染主要通过降低流动人口的定居意愿、流入城市的购房倾向和收入水平来影响流动儿童。在替换自变量、使用窄样本和考虑异质性差异后,本文的结论仍然稳健。因此,在城市化发展过程中,协调环境与人口之间的关系非常重要,这对于延缓发展中国家人口红利衰退和促进可持续经济发展具有重要意义。

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