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地中海地区海上运输造成的健康影响估算和使用更清洁燃料带来的效益。

Estimated health impacts from maritime transport in the Mediterranean region and benefits from the use of cleaner fuels.

机构信息

Institute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research (IDAEA-CSIC), Barcelona, Spain.

Department of Civil and Mechanical Engineering, University of Cassino and Southern Lazio, Cassino (FR), Italy.

出版信息

Environ Int. 2020 May;138:105670. doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2020.105670. Epub 2020 Mar 20.

DOI:10.1016/j.envint.2020.105670
PMID:32203802
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8314305/
Abstract

Ship traffic emissions degrade air quality in coastal areas and contribute to climate impacts globally. The estimated health burden of exposure to shipping emissions in coastal areas may inform policy makers as they seek to reduce exposure and associated potential health impacts. This work estimates the PM-attributable impacts in the form of premature mortality and cardiovascular and respiratory hospital admissions, from long-term exposure to shipping emissions. Health impact assessment (HIA) was performed in 8 Mediterranean coastal cities, using a baseline conditions from the literature and a policy case accounting for the MARPOL Annex VI rules requiring cleaner fuels in 2020. Input data were (a) shipping contributions to ambient PM concentrations based on receptor modelling studies found in the literature, (b) population and health incidence data from national statistical registries, and (c) geographically-relevant concentration-response functions from the literature. Long-term exposure to ship-sourced PM accounted for 430 (95% CI: 220-650) premature deaths per year, in the 8 cities, distributed between groups of cities: Barcelona and Athens, with >100 premature deaths/year, and Nicosia, Brindisi, Genoa, Venice, Msida and Melilla, with tens of premature deaths/year. The more stringent standards in 2020 would reduce the number of PM-attributable premature deaths by 15% on average. HIA provided a comparative assessment of the health burden of shipping emissions across Mediterranean coastal cities, which may provide decision support for urban planning with a special focus on harbour areas, and in view of the reduction in sulphur content of marine fuels due to MARPOL Annex VI in 2020.

摘要

船舶交通排放物会降低沿海地区的空气质量,并对全球气候产生影响。评估在沿海地区接触航运排放物的健康负担,可帮助决策者减少接触并降低相关的潜在健康影响。本研究旨在评估长期接触航运排放物导致的 PM 相关影响,包括过早死亡和心血管及呼吸道疾病入院人数。在 8 个地中海沿海城市进行了健康影响评估 (HIA),使用文献中的基础条件和政策案例进行分析,该政策案例考虑了 MARPOL 附则 VI 中要求在 2020 年使用更清洁燃料的规定。输入数据包括:(a) 基于文献中受体模型研究得出的船舶对环境 PM 浓度的贡献;(b) 来自国家统计登记处的人口和健康发病率数据;(c) 文献中与地理位置相关的浓度-反应函数。8 个城市中,船舶来源的 PM 长期暴露每年导致 430 例(95%CI:220-650)过早死亡,分布在以下城市组中:巴塞罗那和雅典的过早死亡人数超过 100 人/年,而尼科西亚、布林迪西、热那亚、威尼斯、马耳他、梅利利亚的过早死亡人数则为数十人/年。2020 年更严格的标准将使 PM 归因过早死亡人数平均减少 15%。HIA 对地中海沿海城市的航运排放物的健康负担进行了比较评估,这可能为港口区域的城市规划提供决策支持,同时也考虑到 2020 年 MARPOL 附则 VI 对海洋燃料中硫含量的降低。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7813/8314305/0336982f36c7/nihms-1724961-f0004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7813/8314305/fa95bb857ea5/nihms-1724961-f0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7813/8314305/0b6566e5b347/nihms-1724961-f0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7813/8314305/f538ed772b52/nihms-1724961-f0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7813/8314305/0336982f36c7/nihms-1724961-f0004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7813/8314305/fa95bb857ea5/nihms-1724961-f0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7813/8314305/0b6566e5b347/nihms-1724961-f0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7813/8314305/f538ed772b52/nihms-1724961-f0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7813/8314305/0336982f36c7/nihms-1724961-f0004.jpg

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