Suppr超能文献

如何处理部分可分析的行为?

How to deal with partially analyzable acts?

作者信息

Jaffray Jean-Yves, Jeleva Meglena

机构信息

1LIP6, Université Pierre et Marie Curie-Paris 6, Paris, France.

2GAINS-TEPP, Université du Maine, Le Mans, France.

出版信息

Theory Decis. 2011;71(1):129-149. doi: 10.1007/s11238-009-9162-2. Epub 2009 Jul 18.

Abstract

In some situations, a decision is best represented by an incompletely analyzed act: conditionally on a given event , the consequences of the decision on sub-events are perfectly known and uncertainty becomes probabilizable, whereas the plausibility of this event itself remains vague and the decision outcome on the complementary event is imprecisely known. In this framework, we study an axiomatic decision model and prove a representation theorem. Resulting decision criteria aggregate partial evaluations consisting of (i) the conditional expected utility associated with the analyzed part of the decision, and (ii) the best and worst consequences of its non-analyzed part. The representation theorem is consistent with a wide variety of decision criteria, which allows for expressing various degrees of knowledge on () and various types of attitude toward ambiguity and uncertainty. This diversity is taken into account by specific models already existing in the literature. We exploit this fact and propose some particular forms of our model incorporating these models as sub-models and moreover expressing various types of beliefs concerning the relative plausibility of the analyzed and the non-analyzed events ranging from probabilities to complete ignorance that include capacities.

摘要

在某些情况下,一个决策最好由一个未完全分析的行为来表示:以给定事件为条件,该决策对子事件的后果是完全已知的,不确定性可以概率化,而该事件本身的似真性仍然模糊,并且互补事件的决策结果也不精确已知。在此框架下,我们研究一种公理决策模型并证明一个表示定理。由此产生的决策标准汇总了由以下部分组成的部分评估:(i)与决策的已分析部分相关的条件期望效用,以及(ii)其未分析部分的最佳和最坏后果。该表示定理与多种决策标准一致,这允许表达关于()的各种知识程度以及对模糊性和不确定性的各种态度类型。文献中已有的特定模型考虑到了这种多样性。我们利用这一事实,提出我们模型的一些特定形式,将这些模型作为子模型纳入其中,而且表达关于已分析事件和未分析事件相对似真性的各种信念类型,范围从概率到包括容量在内的完全无知。

相似文献

1
How to deal with partially analyzable acts?如何处理部分可分析的行为?
Theory Decis. 2011;71(1):129-149. doi: 10.1007/s11238-009-9162-2. Epub 2009 Jul 18.
2
Decision-making under uncertainty in obsessive-compulsive disorder.强迫症中不确定性下的决策制定。
J Psychiatr Res. 2015 Oct;69:166-73. doi: 10.1016/j.jpsychires.2015.08.011. Epub 2015 Aug 12.
6
Risk management frameworks for human health and environmental risks.人类健康与环境风险的风险管理框架。
J Toxicol Environ Health B Crit Rev. 2003 Nov-Dec;6(6):569-720. doi: 10.1080/10937400390208608.
8
Principles of medical decision making.
Spine (Phila Pa 1976). 1999 Mar 1;24(5):493-8. doi: 10.1097/00007632-199903010-00021.
10
Neural representation of subjective value under risk and ambiguity.风险与模糊下的主观价值的神经表示。
J Neurophysiol. 2010 Feb;103(2):1036-47. doi: 10.1152/jn.00853.2009. Epub 2009 Dec 23.

本文引用的文献

文献检索

告别复杂PubMed语法,用中文像聊天一样搜索,搜遍4000万医学文献。AI智能推荐,让科研检索更轻松。

立即免费搜索

文件翻译

保留排版,准确专业,支持PDF/Word/PPT等文件格式,支持 12+语言互译。

免费翻译文档

深度研究

AI帮你快速写综述,25分钟生成高质量综述,智能提取关键信息,辅助科研写作。

立即免费体验