Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen, China.
Shenzhen Municipal Health Commission, Shenzhen, China.
Travel Med Infect Dis. 2020 Sep-Oct;37:101660. doi: 10.1016/j.tmaid.2020.101660. Epub 2020 Apr 2.
Since the outbreak of 2019-nCoV in December, Chinese government has implemented various measures including travel bans, centralized treatments, and home quarantines to slowing the transmission across the country. In this study, we aimed to estimate the incidence of 2019-nCoV infection among people under home quarantine in Shenzhen, China.
We used a stratified multistage random sampling method to recruit participants and collected demographic information and laboratory results of people under home quarantine. We conducted descriptive analysis to estimate the basic characteristics and to calculate the incidence in out study population.
A total of 2004 people under home quarantine participated in this study, of which 1637 participants finished the questionnaire with a response rate of 81.7%. Mean age of the participants was 33.7 years, ranging from 0.3 to 80.2 years. Of people who provided clear travel history, 129 people have traveled to Wuhan city and 1,046 people have traveled to other cities in Hubei province within 14 days before the home quarantine. Few (less than 1%) participants reported contact history with confirmed or suspected cases during their trip and most of these arrived at Shenzhen between Jan 24, 2020 to Jan 27, 2020. The incidence of COVID-19 in the sample was 1.5‰ (95% CI: 0.31‰-4.37‰).
Home quarantine has been effective in preventing the early transmission of COVID-19, but that more needs to be done to improve early detection of COVID-19 infection.
自 2019 年 12 月新冠病毒爆发以来,中国政府采取了旅行禁令、集中治疗和居家隔离等各种措施,以减缓全国范围内的传播。本研究旨在估计中国深圳居家隔离人群中新冠病毒感染的发病率。
我们采用分层多阶段随机抽样方法招募参与者,并收集居家隔离人群的人口统计学信息和实验室结果。我们进行描述性分析,以估计研究人群的基本特征并计算发病率。
共有 2004 名居家隔离者参加了本研究,其中 1637 名参与者完成了问卷调查,应答率为 81.7%。参与者的平均年龄为 33.7 岁,年龄范围为 0.3 至 80.2 岁。在提供明确旅行史的人群中,有 129 人曾前往武汉市,有 1046 人在居家隔离前 14 天内前往湖北省其他城市旅行。少数(不到 1%)参与者在旅行中报告与确诊或疑似病例有接触史,且大多数人于 2020 年 1 月 24 日至 1 月 27 日抵达深圳。样本中 COVID-19 的发病率为 1.5‰(95%CI:0.31‰-4.37‰)。
居家隔离在预防 COVID-19 的早期传播方面是有效的,但仍需要进一步采取措施提高对 COVID-19 感染的早期检测。