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运用贝叶斯因子假设检验在神经科学中建立无证据的结论。

Using Bayes factor hypothesis testing in neuroscience to establish evidence of absence.

机构信息

Netherlands Institute for Neuroscience, Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

Department of Psychology, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Nat Neurosci. 2020 Jul;23(7):788-799. doi: 10.1038/s41593-020-0660-4. Epub 2020 Jun 29.

Abstract

Most neuroscientists would agree that for brain research to progress, we have to know which experimental manipulations have no effect as much as we must identify those that do have an effect. The dominant statistical approaches used in neuroscience rely on P values and can establish the latter but not the former. This makes non-significant findings difficult to interpret: do they support the null hypothesis or are they simply not informative? Here we show how Bayesian hypothesis testing can be used in neuroscience studies to establish both whether there is evidence of absence and whether there is absence of evidence. Through simple tutorial-style examples of Bayesian t-tests and ANOVA using the open-source project JASP, this article aims to empower neuroscientists to use this approach to provide compelling and rigorous evidence for the absence of an effect.

摘要

大多数神经科学家都认为,为了推进脑科学研究,我们不仅必须确定哪些实验操作有效果,还要知道哪些操作没有效果。神经科学中使用的主流统计方法依赖于 P 值,虽然可以确定后者,但不能确定前者。这使得无显著发现的结果难以解释:它们是支持零假设,还是仅仅没有提供信息?本文展示了如何在神经科学研究中使用贝叶斯假设检验来确定是否有缺乏证据的情况,以及是否缺乏证据。通过使用 JASP 开源项目进行贝叶斯 t 检验和 ANOVA 的简单教程示例,本文旨在使神经科学家能够使用这种方法为缺乏效果提供令人信服和严格的证据。

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