Wu Qingsong, Li Jiahui, Chen Liangwan, Yan Liang Liang, Qiu Zhihuang, Shen Yue, Xie Xianbiao, Xie Linfeng
Department of Cardiac Surgery, Union Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian, 350001, People's Republic of China.
Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian, 350001, People's Republic of China.
J Cardiothorac Surg. 2020 Jul 16;15(1):172. doi: 10.1186/s13019-020-01206-y.
We studied early poor postoperative prognosis in acute Stanford type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) patients and investigated the predictive effect of interleukin-6 (IL-6) combined with D-dimer in the early poor postoperative prognosis after ATAAD.
Data on 141 ATAAD patients, who underwent emergency surgery between January 2018 and December 2018 at our hospital, were studied. We analyzed early postoperative prognosis using two patient groups. Patients with good prognosis were included in group A and those with poor prognosis were in group B. Univariate logistic and multivariable logistic regression analysis were performed for poor early postoperative prognosis.
Preoperative IL-6 level was lower (57.8 ± 39.0 vs 211.0 ± 153.7 pg/mL, p < 0.001) and the D-dimer was also lower (7.3 ± 6.1 vs. 16.7 ± 5.8 μg/mL, p < 0.001) in group A than in B. The cut-off points, determined by the ROC curve, were preoperative IL-6 > 108 pg/mL (area under the curve: AUC = 0.901) and D-dimer > 14.0 μg/mL (AUC = 0.817). Univariate logistic regression analysis showed that IL-6 > 108 pg/mL, D-dimer > 14.0 μg/mL, prothrombin time > 15 s, creatinine > 135 mmol/mL, and operation time > 306 min for ATAAD appeared to be early postoperative risk factors of poor prognosis. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that IL-6 > 108 pg/mL and D-dimer > 14.0 μg/mL were early postoperative risk factors for poor prognosis after ATAAD, and the odds ratios (ORs) of IL-6 > 108 pg/mL and D-dimer > 14.0 μg/mL were 24.937 (6.837, 90.931) and 18.757 (5.094, 69.075), respectively. When IL-6 was > 108 pg/mL (AUC = 0.901), the sensitivity and specificity of predicting early postoperative prognosis after ATAAD were 79.4 and 89.7%, respectively (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.839 to 0.963). When D-dimer was > 14.0 g/mL (AUC = 0.817), the sensitivity and specificity were 82.4 and 84.1%, respectively (95% CI 0.731 to 0.903). When combined with D-dimer (AUC = 0.936) (95% CI 0.793 to 0.979), the AUC values were more predictive than those for the individual marker.
IL-6 > 108 pg/mL and D-dimer > 14.0 μg/mL is of high predictive value for the assessment of early poor postoperative prognosis after ATAAD. And IL-6 > 108 pg/mL in combination with D-dimer > 14.0 μg/mL is of higher predictive value.
我们研究了急性Stanford A型主动脉夹层(ATAAD)患者术后早期预后不良的情况,并探讨了白细胞介素-6(IL-6)联合D-二聚体对ATAAD术后早期预后不良的预测作用。
研究我院2018年1月至2018年12月期间接受急诊手术的141例ATAAD患者的数据。我们将患者分为两组分析术后早期预后。预后良好的患者纳入A组,预后不良的患者纳入B组。对术后早期预后不良进行单因素逻辑回归和多因素逻辑回归分析。
A组术前IL-6水平低于B组(57.8±39.0 vs 211.0±153.7 pg/mL,p<0.001),D-二聚体水平也低于B组(7.3±6.1 vs. 16.7±5.8 μg/mL,p<0.001)。根据ROC曲线确定的截断点为术前IL-6>108 pg/mL(曲线下面积:AUC=0.901)和D-二聚体>14.0 μg/mL(AUC=0.817)。单因素逻辑回归分析显示,ATAAD患者术前IL-6>108 pg/mL、D-二聚体>14.0 μg/mL、凝血酶原时间>15 s、肌酐>135 mmol/mL及手术时间>306 min似乎是术后早期预后不良的危险因素。多因素逻辑回归分析显示,IL-6>108 pg/mL和D-二聚体>14.0 μg/mL是ATAAD术后早期预后不良的危险因素,IL-6>108 pg/mL和D-二聚体>14.0 μg/mL的比值比(OR)分别为24.937(6.837,90.931)和18.757(5.094,69.075)。当IL-6>108 pg/mL(AUC=0.901)时,预测ATAAD术后早期预后的敏感性和特异性分别为79.4%和89.7%(95%置信区间[CI] 0.839至0.96)。当D-二聚体>14.0 μg/mL(AUC=0.817)时,敏感性和特异性分别为82.4%和84.1%(95% CI 0.731至0.903)。当与D-二聚体联合时(AUC=0.936)(95% CI 0.793至0.979),AUC值比单个标志物更具预测性。
IL-6>108 pg/mL和D-二聚体>14.0 μg/mL对评估ATAAD术后早期预后不良具有较高的预测价值。IL-6>108 pg/mL联合D-二聚体>14.0 μg/mL具有更高的预测价值。