Université de Paris, Centre of Research in Epidemiology and Statistics /CRESS, INSERM, INRA, Paris, France
Université de Paris, Centre of Research in Epidemiology and Statistics /CRESS, INSERM, INRA, Paris, France.
BMJ Open. 2020 Sep 18;10(9):e035785. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2019-035785.
To select a growth model that best describes individual growth trajectories of children and to present some growth characteristics of this population.
Participants were selected from a prospective cohort conducted in three health centres (Allada, Sekou and Attogon) in a semirural region of Benin, sub-Saharan Africa.
Children aged 0 to 6 years were recruited in a cohort study with at least two valid height and weight measurements included (n=961).
This study compared the goodness-of-fit of three structural growth models (Jenss-Bayley, Reed and a newly adapted version of the Gompertz growth model) on longitudinal weight and height growth data of boys and girls. The goodness-of-fit of the models was assessed using residual distribution over age and compared with the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). The best-fitting model allowed estimating mean weight and height growth trajectories, individual growth and growth velocities. Underweight, stunting and wasting were also estimated at age 6 years.
The three models were able to fit well both weight and height data. The Jenss-Bayley model presented the best fit for weight and height, both in boys and girls. Mean height growth trajectories were identical in shape and direction for boys and girls while the mean weight growth curve of girls fell slightly below the curve of boys after neonatal life. Finally, 35%, 27.7% and 8% of boys; and 34%, 38.4% and 4% of girls were estimated to be underweight, wasted and stunted at age 6 years, respectively.
The growth parameters of the best-fitting Jenss-Bayley model can be used to describe growth trajectories and study their determinants.
选择最能描述儿童个体生长轨迹的生长模型,并呈现该人群的一些生长特征。
参与者选自在撒哈拉以南非洲贝宁一个半农村地区的三个卫生中心(Allada、Sekou 和 Attogon)进行的前瞻性队列研究。
在一项队列研究中招募了 0 至 6 岁的儿童,该研究至少包含两次有效的身高和体重测量(n=961)。
本研究比较了三种结构生长模型(Jenss-Bayley、Reed 和改良版的 Gompertz 生长模型)对男孩和女孩纵向体重和身高生长数据的拟合优度。使用年龄上的残差分布评估模型的拟合优度,并与赤池信息量准则(AIC)和贝叶斯信息量准则(BIC)进行比较。最佳拟合模型允许估计平均体重和身高生长轨迹、个体生长和生长速度。还在 6 岁时估计了体重不足、发育迟缓以及消瘦的情况。
三种模型都能很好地拟合体重和身高数据。Jenss-Bayley 模型在男孩和女孩的体重和身高方面表现出最佳拟合。男孩和女孩的平均身高生长轨迹形状和方向相同,而女孩的平均体重生长曲线在新生儿期后略低于男孩的曲线。最后,估计 6 岁时 35%、27.7%和 8%的男孩以及 34%、38.4%和 4%的女孩体重不足、消瘦和发育迟缓。
最佳拟合 Jenss-Bayley 模型的生长参数可用于描述生长轨迹并研究其决定因素。