Unnecessary thyroid nodule biopsy rates under four ultrasound risk stratification systems: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES

To summarize and compare unnecessary biopsy rates and diagnostic performance in the examination of thyroid nodules according to four representative US-based risk stratification systems.

METHODS

MEDLINE/PubMed and EMBASE databases were searched to identify original articles investigating unnecessary biopsy rates according to at least one of the following guidelines: ACR-TIRADS, ATA, EU-TIRADS, and K-TIRADS. The unnecessary biopsy rates for each risk stratification system were pooled using a random-effects model. Meta-regression analyses were performed to explore heterogeneity. Diagnostic odds ratios (DORs) for the appropriate selection of thyroid nodules for fine-needle aspiration were also pooled using a bivariate random-effects model.

RESULTS

Eight articles including 13,092 thyroid nodules met the eligibility criteria and were included. The pooled unnecessary biopsy rates of ACR-TIRADS, ATA, EU-TIRADS, and K-TIRADS were 25% (95% CI, 22-29%), 51% (95% CI, 44-58%), 38% (95% CI, 16-66%), and 55% (95% CI, 42-67%), respectively. The pooled unnecessary biopsy rate of ACR-TIRADS was significantly lower than that of ATA (p < .001) and K-TIRADS (p < .001), and also lower than that of EU-TIRADS, but not reaching statistical significance (p = .087). The pooled DORs of ACR-TIRADS, ATA, and K-TIRADS were 5.9 (95% CI, 3.6-9.6), 6.3 (95% CI, 4.5-8.8), and 4.5 (95% CI, 1.7-11.6), respectively, with the differences not being statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

ACR-TIRADS showed a lower unnecessary biopsy rate than the other risk stratification systems albeit DOR was comparable between ACR-TIRADS, ATA, and K-TIRADS. Future revisions of each system should be made by referring to ACR-TIRADS to reduce unnecessary biopsy rates.

KEY POINTS

• The pooled unnecessary biopsy rates of ACR-TIRADS, ATA, EU-TIRADS, and K-TIRADS were 25% (95% CI, 22-29%), 51% (95% CI, 44-58%), 38% (95% CI, 16-66%), and 55% (95% CI, 42-67%), respectively. • The pooled unnecessary biopsy rate of ACR-TIRADS was significantly lower than that of ATA (p < .001) and K-TIRADS (p < .001). • The pooled DORs of ACR-TIRADS, ATA, and K-TIRADS were 5.9 (95% CI, 3.6-9.6), 6.3 (95% CI, 4.5-8.8), and 4.5 (95% CI, 1.7-11.6), respectively, with the differences not being statistically significant.