MRC Epidemiology Unit, Institute of Metabolic Science, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Department of Paediatrics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
PLoS One. 2020 Oct 27;15(10):e0241357. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0241357. eCollection 2020.
Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is common and strongly associated with the metabolic syndrome. Though NAFLD may progress to end-stage liver disease, the top cause of mortality in NAFLD is cardiovascular disease (CVD). Most of the data on liver-related mortality in NAFLD derives from specialist liver centres. It is not clear if the higher reported mortality rates in individuals with non-cirrhotic NAFLD are entirely accounted for by complications of atherosclerosis and diabetes. Therefore, we aimed to describe the CVD burden and mortality in NAFLD when adjusting for metabolic risk factors using a 'real world' cohort. We performed a retrospective study of patients followed-up after an admission to non-specialist hospitals with a NAFLD-spectrum diagnosis. Non-cirrhotic NAFLD and NAFLD-cirrhosis patients were defined by ICD-10 codes. Cases were age-/sex-matched with non-NAFLD hospitalised patients. All-cause mortality over 14-years follow-up after discharge was compared between groups using Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for demographics, CVD, and metabolic syndrome components. We identified 1,802 patients with NAFLD-diagnoses: 1,091 with non-cirrhotic NAFLD and 711 with NAFLD-cirrhosis, matched to 24,737 controls. There was an increasing burden of CVD with progression of NAFLD: for congestive heart failure 3.5% control, 4.2% non-cirrhotic NAFLD, 6.6% NAFLD-cirrhosis; and for atrial fibrillation 4.7% control, 5.9% non-cirrhotic NAFLD, 12.1% NAFLD-cirrhosis. Over 14-years follow-up, crude mortality rates were 14.7% control, 13.7% non-cirrhotic NAFLD, and 40.5% NAFLD-cirrhosis. However, after adjusting for demographics, non-cirrhotic NAFLD (HR 1.3 (95% CI 1.1-1.5)) as well as NAFLD-cirrhosis (HR 3.7 (95% CI 3.0-4.5)) patients had higher mortality compared to controls. These differences remained after adjusting for CVD and metabolic syndrome components: non-cirrhotic NAFLD (HR 1.2 (95% CI 1.0-1.4)) and NAFLD-cirrhosis (HR 3.4 (95% CI 2.8-4.2)). In conclusion, from a large non-specialist registry of hospitalised patients, those with non-cirrhotic NAFLD had increased overall mortality compared to controls even after adjusting for CVD.
非酒精性脂肪性肝病(NAFLD)很常见,与代谢综合征密切相关。尽管 NAFLD 可能进展为终末期肝病,但 NAFLD 患者的主要死亡原因是心血管疾病(CVD)。大多数关于 NAFLD 相关肝死亡率的数据都来自专门的肝脏中心。目前尚不清楚非肝硬化性 NAFLD 患者报告的死亡率较高是否完全归因于动脉粥样硬化和糖尿病的并发症。因此,我们旨在通过使用“真实世界”队列来调整代谢危险因素,描述 NAFLD 中的 CVD 负担和死亡率。我们对非专科医院住院的 NAFLD 谱诊断患者进行了回顾性研究。非肝硬化性 NAFLD 和 NAFLD 肝硬化患者通过 ICD-10 代码定义。病例通过年龄和性别与非 NAFLD 住院患者相匹配。使用 Cox 比例风险模型比较出院后 14 年随访期间各组的全因死亡率,该模型调整了人口统计学、CVD 和代谢综合征成分。我们确定了 1802 例 NAFLD 诊断患者:1091 例非肝硬化性 NAFLD 和 711 例 NAFLD 肝硬化,与 24737 例对照相匹配。随着 NAFLD 的进展,CVD 的负担逐渐增加:充血性心力衰竭为 3.5%,非肝硬化性 NAFLD 为 4.2%,NAFLD 肝硬化为 6.6%;心房颤动为 4.7%,非肝硬化性 NAFLD 为 5.9%,NAFLD 肝硬化为 12.1%。在 14 年的随访中,对照组的粗死亡率为 14.7%,非肝硬化性 NAFLD 为 13.7%,NAFLD 肝硬化为 40.5%。然而,在调整了人口统计学因素后,非肝硬化性 NAFLD(HR 1.3(95%CI 1.1-1.5))和 NAFLD 肝硬化(HR 3.7(95%CI 3.0-4.5))患者的死亡率均高于对照组。在调整了 CVD 和代谢综合征成分后,这些差异仍然存在:非肝硬化性 NAFLD(HR 1.2(95%CI 1.0-1.4))和 NAFLD 肝硬化(HR 3.4(95%CI 2.8-4.2))。总之,从大型非专科医院住院患者的登记处来看,即使调整了 CVD,非肝硬化性 NAFLD 患者的总体死亡率也高于对照组。