Bellavia Andrea, Rotem Ran S, Dickerson Aisha S, Hansen Johnni, Gredal Ole, Weisskopf Marc G
Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115.
Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115.
Epidemiol Methods. 2020 Jan;9(1). doi: 10.1515/em-2019-0032. Epub 2020 Feb 25.
Investigating the joint exposure to several risk factors is becoming a key component of epidemiologic studies. Individuals are exposed to multiple factors, often simultaneously, and evaluating patterns of exposures and high-dimension interactions may allow for a better understanding of health risks at the individual level. When jointly evaluating high-dimensional exposures, common statistical methods should be integrated with machine learning techniques that may better account for complex settings. Among these, Logic regression was developed to investigate a large number of binary exposures as they relate to a given outcome. This method may be of interest in several public health settings, yet has never been presented to an epidemiologic audience. In this paper, we review and discuss Logic regression as a potential tool for epidemiological studies, using an example of occupation history (68 binary exposures of primary occupations) and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis in a population-based Danish cohort. Logic regression identifies predictors that are Boolean combinations of the original (binary) exposures, fully operating within the regression framework of interest (e.g. linear, logistic). Combinations of exposures are graphically presented as Logic trees, and techniques for selecting the best Logic model are available and of high importance. While highlighting several advantages of the method, we also discuss specific drawbacks and practical issues that should be considered when using Logic regression in population-based studies. With this paper, we encourage researchers to explore the use of machine learning techniques when evaluating large-dimensional epidemiologic data, as well as advocate the need of further methodological work in the area.
探究多种风险因素的联合暴露正成为流行病学研究的关键组成部分。个体往往同时暴露于多种因素,评估暴露模式和高维相互作用可能有助于更好地理解个体层面的健康风险。在联合评估高维暴露时,应将常用统计方法与机器学习技术相结合,后者可能更适合复杂的情况。其中,逻辑回归被开发用于研究大量与特定结局相关的二元暴露。该方法在一些公共卫生环境中可能具有价值,但从未向流行病学领域的受众介绍过。在本文中,我们以丹麦一个基于人群的队列中职业史(68种主要职业的二元暴露)和肌萎缩侧索硬化症为例,回顾并讨论逻辑回归作为流行病学研究潜在工具的情况。逻辑回归识别出作为原始(二元)暴露的布尔组合的预测因素,在感兴趣的回归框架(如线性、逻辑)内充分发挥作用。暴露组合以逻辑树的形式直观呈现,选择最佳逻辑模型的技术是可用的且非常重要。在强调该方法的几个优点的同时,我们也讨论了在基于人群的研究中使用逻辑回归时应考虑的具体缺点和实际问题。通过本文,我们鼓励研究人员在评估高维流行病学数据时探索使用机器学习技术,并倡导在该领域开展进一步的方法学研究。