Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Health Sciences, Wuhan University, 115#Donghu Road, Wuhan, 430071, China.
School of Public Health and Management, Hubei University of Medicine, 30# South Renmin Road, Shiyan, 442000, China.
Glob Health Res Policy. 2020 Dec 21;5(1):54. doi: 10.1186/s41256-020-00183-y.
To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 related deaths in Wuhan, China and comprehend the changing trends of this epidemic along with analyzing the prevention and control measures in Wuhan.
Through the China's Infectious Disease Information System, we collected information about COVID-19 associated deaths from December 15, 2019 to February 24, 2020 in Wuhan. We analyzed the patient's demographic characteristics, drew epidemiological curve and made geographic distribution maps of the death toll in each district over time, etc. ArcGIS was used to plot the numbers of daily deaths on maps. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS and @Risk software.
As of February 24, 2020, a total of 1833 deaths were included. Among the deaths with COVID-19, mild type accounted for the most (37.2%), followed by severe type (30.1%). The median age was 70.0 (inter quartile range: 63.0-79.0) years. Most of the deaths were distributed in 50-89 age group, whereas no deaths occurred in 0-9 age group. Additionally, the male to female ratio was 1.95:1. A total of 65.7% of the deaths in Wuhan combined with underlying diseases, and was more pronounced among males. Most of the underlying diseases included hypertension, diabetes and cardiovascular diseases. The peak of daily deaths appeared on February 14 and then declined. The median interval from symptom onset to diagnosis was 10.0 (6.0-14.0) days; the interval from onset to diagnosis gradually shortened. The median intervals from diagnosis to death and symptom onset to deaths were 6.0 (2.0-11.0), 17.0 (12.0-22.0) days, respectively. Most of the disease was centralized in central urban area with highest death rate in Jianghan District.
COVID-19 poses a greater threat to the elderly people and men with more devastating effects, particularly in the presence of underlying diseases. The geographical distributions show that the epidemic in the central area of Wuhan is more serious than that in the surrounding areas. Analysis of deaths as of February 24 indicates that a tremendous improvement of COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan has achieved by effective control measures taken by Wuhan Government.
分析中国武汉市 COVID-19 相关死亡的流行病学特征,并了解疫情的变化趋势,同时分析武汉市的防控措施。
通过中国传染病信息系统,收集 2019 年 12 月 15 日至 2020 年 2 月 24 日武汉市 COVID-19 相关死亡病例的信息。分析患者的人口统计学特征,绘制随时间推移的流行病学曲线和各区死亡人数的地理分布图等。ArcGIS 用于在地图上绘制每日死亡人数。使用 SPSS 和@Risk 软件进行统计分析。
截至 2020 年 2 月 24 日,共纳入 1833 例死亡病例。COVID-19 死亡病例中,轻症占比最高(37.2%),其次为重症(30.1%)。中位年龄为 70.0(四分位间距:63.0-79.0)岁。死亡病例主要分布在 50-89 岁年龄组,而 0-9 岁年龄组无死亡病例。此外,男女比例为 1.95:1。武汉市共有 65.7%的死亡病例合并基础疾病,且男性更为明显。大多数基础疾病包括高血压、糖尿病和心血管疾病。每日死亡人数的高峰出现在 2 月 14 日,然后下降。从症状出现到诊断的中位间隔为 10.0(6.0-14.0)天;从发病到诊断的间隔逐渐缩短。从诊断到死亡和从症状出现到死亡的中位间隔分别为 6.0(2.0-11.0)、17.0(12.0-22.0)天。大多数疾病集中在中心城区,江汉区死亡率最高。
COVID-19 对老年人和男性的威胁更大,影响更严重,特别是在存在基础疾病的情况下。地理分布表明,武汉市中心地区的疫情比周边地区更为严重。截至 2 月 24 日的死亡病例分析表明,武汉市政府采取的有效防控措施使 COVID-19 疫情得到了极大改善。