Burden of Disease Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa.
S Afr Med J. 2020 Oct 1;110(11):1093-1099.
Understanding the pattern of deaths from COVID-19 in South Africa (SA) is critical to identifying individuals at high risk of dying from the disease. The Minister of Health set up a daily reporting mechanism to obtain timeous details of COVID-19 deaths from the provinces to track mortality patterns.
To provide an epidemiological analysis of the first COVID-19 deaths in SA.
Provincial deaths data from 28 March to 3 July 2020 were cleaned, information on comorbidities was standardised, and data were aggregated into a single data set. Analysis was performed by age, sex, province, date of death and comorbidities.
SA reported 3 088 deaths from COVID-19, i.e. an age-standardised death rate of 64.5 (95% confidence interval (CI) 62.3 - 66.8) deaths per million population. Most deaths occurred in Western Cape (65.5%) followed by Eastern Cape (16.8%) and Gauteng (11.3%). The median age of death was 61 years (interquartile range 52 - 71). Males had a 1.5 times higher death rate compared with females. Individuals with two or more comorbidities accounted for 58.6% (95% CI 56.6 - 60.5) of deaths. Hypertension and diabetes were the most common comorbidities reported, and HIV and tuberculosis were more common in individuals aged <50 years.
Data collection for COVID-19 deaths in provinces must be standardised. Even though the data had limitations, these findings can be used by the SA government to manage the pandemic and identify individuals who are at high risk of dying from COVID-19.
了解南非(SA)COVID-19 死亡模式对于确定死于该疾病的高危人群至关重要。卫生部长建立了一个每日报告机制,从各省获取 COVID-19 死亡的及时详细信息,以跟踪死亡率模式。
提供南非首例 COVID-19 死亡的流行病学分析。
对 2020 年 3 月 28 日至 7 月 3 日的省级死亡数据进行清理,对合并症信息进行标准化,并将数据汇总到一个数据集。按年龄、性别、省份、死亡日期和合并症进行分析。
SA 报告了 3088 例 COVID-19 死亡,即标准化年龄死亡率为 64.5(95%置信区间(CI)62.3-66.8)每百万人死亡。大多数死亡发生在西开普省(65.5%),其次是东开普省(16.8%)和豪登省(11.3%)。死亡的中位年龄为 61 岁(四分位间距 52-71)。男性的死亡率是女性的 1.5 倍。有两种或更多合并症的个体占死亡人数的 58.6%(95%CI 56.6-60.5)。报告的最常见合并症是高血压和糖尿病,HIV 和结核病在 <50 岁的人群中更为常见。
必须对各省 COVID-19 死亡数据进行标准化收集。尽管数据存在局限性,但这些发现可被南非政府用于管理大流行并确定死于 COVID-19 的高危人群。