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巴西南部社区居住的老年人三年内全因死亡率。

All-cause mortality over a three-year period among community-dwelling older adults in Southern Brazil.

机构信息

Faculty of Nutrition, Universidade Federal de Pelotas - Pelotas (RS), Brazil.

Postgraduate Program in Epidemiology, Universidade Federal de Pelotas - Pelotas (RS), Brazil.

出版信息

Rev Bras Epidemiol. 2021 Apr 2;24:e210015. doi: 10.1590/1980-549720210015. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate all-cause mortality in approximately three years of follow-up and related sociodemographic, behavioral and health factors in community-dwelling older adults in Pelotas, RS.

METHODS

This was a longitudinal observational study that included 1,451 older adults (≥ 60 years) who were interviewed in 2014. Information on mortality was collected from their households in 2016-2017 and confirmed with the Epidemiological Surveillance department of the city and by documents from family members. Associations between mortality and independent variables were assessed by crude and multiple Cox regression, with hazard ratio with respective 95% confidence intervals (95%CI).

RESULTS

Almost 10% (n = 145) of the participants died during an average of 2.5 years of follow-up, with a higher frequency of deaths among males (12.9%), ?80 years (25.2%), widowhood (15.0%), no education (13.8%) and who did not work (10.5%). Factors associated with higher mortality were: being a male (HR = 2.8; 95%CI 1.9 - 4.2), age ?80 years (HR = 3.9; 95%CI 2.4 - 6.2), widowhood (HR = 2.2; 95%CI 1.4 - 3.7), physical inactivity (HR = 2.3; 95%CI 1.1 - 4..6), current smoking (HR = 2.1; 95%CI 1.2 - 3.6), hospitalizations in the previous year (HR = 2.0; 95%CI 1.2 - 3.2), depressive symptoms (HR = 2.0; 95%CI 1.2 - 3,4) and dependence for two or more daily life activities (HR = 3.1; 95%CI 1,7 - 5.7).

CONCLUSION

The identification of factors that increased the risk of early death makes it possible to improve public policies aimed at controlling the modifiable risk factors that can lead to aging with a better quality of life.

摘要

目的

评估佩洛塔斯市社区老年人约三年的随访期间的全因死亡率,以及相关的社会人口学、行为和健康因素。

方法

这是一项纵向观察性研究,纳入了 1451 名老年人(≥60 岁),他们于 2014 年接受了访谈。2016-2017 年从他们的家庭中收集了死亡率信息,并通过城市的流行病学监测部门和家庭成员的文件进行了确认。使用粗死亡率和多 Cox 回归评估死亡率与独立变量之间的关联,计算相应的危险比及其 95%置信区间(95%CI)。

结果

在平均 2.5 年的随访期间,近 10%(n=145)的参与者死亡,男性(12.9%)、≥80 岁(25.2%)、丧偶(15.0%)、未受教育(13.8%)和未工作(10.5%)的死亡频率更高。与更高死亡率相关的因素包括:男性(HR=2.8;95%CI 1.9-4.2)、年龄≥80 岁(HR=3.9;95%CI 2.4-6.2)、丧偶(HR=2.2;95%CI 1.4-3.7)、身体不活动(HR=2.3;95%CI 1.1-4.6)、当前吸烟(HR=2.1;95%CI 1.2-3.6)、前一年住院(HR=2.0;95%CI 1.2-3.2)、抑郁症状(HR=2.0;95%CI 1.2-3.4)和两项或更多日常活动依赖(HR=3.1;95%CI 1.7-5.7)。

结论

识别增加早逝风险的因素,可以改善旨在控制可改变的风险因素的公共政策,从而提高生活质量。

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