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髋部骨折手术后的年龄和临床结局:是否需要使用 80 岁以上、90 岁以上和 100 岁以上的分类?

Age and clinical outcomes after hip fracture surgery: do octogenarian, nonagenarian and centenarian classifications matter?

机构信息

Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Tokyo Medical and Dental University Graduate School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.

Division of Orthopedic Surgery, Tel Aviv Sourasky Medical Center, Affiliated with Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.

出版信息

Age Ageing. 2021 Nov 10;50(6):1952-1960. doi: 10.1093/ageing/afab137.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

older patients with hip fractures are arbitrarily classified as octogenarians, nonagenarians and centenarians. We have designed this study to quantify in-hospital mortality and complications among each of these groups. We hypothesised that the associations between age and in-hospital mortality and complications are continuously increasing, and that these risks increase rapidly when patients reach a certain age.

METHODS

this research is a retrospective cohort study using nationwide database between 2010 and 2018. Patients undergoing hip fracture surgery, and aged 60 or older, were included. The associations between patient age, in-hospital mortality and complications were visualised using the restricted cubic spline models, and were analysed employing multivariable regression models. Then, octogenarians, nonagenarians and centenarians were compared.

RESULTS

among a total of 565,950 patients, 48.7% (n = 275,775) were octogenarians, 23.0% (n = 129,937) were nonagenarians and 0.7% (n = 4,093) were centenarians. The models presented three types of association between age, in-hospital mortality and complications: (i) a continuous increase (mortality and respiratory complications); (ii) a mild increase followed by a steep rise (intensive care unit admission, heart failure, renal failure and surgical site hematoma) and (iii) a steep increase followed by a limited change (coronary heart disease, stroke and pulmonary embolisms).

CONCLUSION

we identified three types of association between age and clinical outcomes. Patients aged 85-90 may constitute the upper threshold for age categorisations, because the risk of in-hospital complications changed dramatically at that stage. This information can improve clinical awareness of various complications and support collective decision-making.

摘要

背景

髋部骨折的老年患者被任意分为 80 岁以上、90 岁以上和 100 岁以上。我们设计这项研究是为了量化这些人群的住院死亡率和并发症。我们假设年龄与住院死亡率和并发症之间的关联是持续增加的,而且当患者达到一定年龄时,这些风险会迅速增加。

方法

这是一项回顾性队列研究,使用了 2010 年至 2018 年的全国性数据库。纳入接受髋部骨折手术且年龄在 60 岁或以上的患者。使用限制三次样条模型可视化患者年龄、住院死亡率和并发症之间的关联,并使用多变量回归模型进行分析。然后,将 80 岁以上、90 岁以上和 100 岁以上的患者进行比较。

结果

在总共 565950 名患者中,48.7%(n=275775)为 80 岁以上,23.0%(n=129937)为 90 岁以上,0.7%(n=4093)为 100 岁以上。模型显示了年龄、住院死亡率和并发症之间的三种关联类型:(i)连续增加(死亡率和呼吸并发症);(ii)轻度增加后急剧上升(重症监护病房入院、心力衰竭、肾衰竭和手术部位血肿);(iii)急剧增加后变化有限(冠心病、中风和肺栓塞)。

结论

我们确定了年龄与临床结果之间的三种关联类型。85-90 岁的患者可能构成年龄分类的上限,因为在此阶段,住院并发症的风险发生了巨大变化。这些信息可以提高对各种并发症的临床认识,并支持集体决策。

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