School of Psychology, University of Waikato, Waikato, New Zealand.
School of Psychology, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Nat Commun. 2021 Jul 6;12(1):4038. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-24245-y.
Accumulating evidence indicates that climate change awareness and concern has increased globally, but commentators suggest a climate change generation gap whereby younger people care more about climate change than older people. Here we use a decade of panel data from 56,513 New Zealanders to test whether belief that "Climate change is real" and "Climate change is caused by humans" increased over the 2009-2018 period; and whether changes are uniform across 12 five-year birth cohorts spanning those born from 1936 to 1995. Results confirm a generation gap in mean (intercept) climate change beliefs but not in over-time increase (slope). The generation gap occurs because older cohorts started from a lower initial belief level (circa 2009), but all age cohorts increased their belief level at a similar rate over the last decade; and these results were not qualified by respondents' gender. The findings offer hope for collective action that bridges efforts across generations.
越来越多的证据表明,全球范围内人们对气候变化的认识和关注有所增加,但有评论认为存在“气候变化代沟”,即年轻人比老年人更关心气候变化。在这里,我们利用来自 56513 名新西兰人的十年面板数据,检验人们对“气候变化是真实的”和“气候变化是由人类引起的”的信念是否在 2009 年至 2018 年间有所增加;以及这些变化是否在跨越 1936 年至 1995 年出生的 12 个五年出生队列中保持一致。结果证实了在气候变化信念的平均(截距)方面存在代沟,但在随时间推移的增加(斜率)方面则不存在。这种代沟的出现是因为较年长的队列从较低的初始信念水平开始(大约在 2009 年),但在过去十年中,所有年龄队列都以相似的速度提高了他们的信念水平;而且这些结果不受受访者性别影响。这些发现为跨越代际的集体行动提供了希望。