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肯尼亚对 COVID-19 疫苗的需求。

The demand for a COVID-19 vaccine in Kenya.

机构信息

Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX, USA.

Socioeconomics, Policy and Governance Department, Kenya Forestry Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya.

出版信息

Hum Vaccin Immunother. 2021 Oct 3;17(10):3463-3471. doi: 10.1080/21645515.2021.1938494. Epub 2021 Jul 9.

Abstract

The goal of achieving herd immunity to the coronavirus requires high vaccination acceptance levels on the part of the population. The objectives of this study were to: 1) Measure individuals' willingness to pay (WTP) for a COVID-19 vaccine in Kenya; 2) evaluate the effect of vaccine characteristics (duration of protection and efficacy) and individuals' socioeconomic variables on WTP, and 3) estimate the aggregate demand and economic value of a COVID-19 vaccine. The contingent valuation (CV) method was used as the basis for the analyses. Data for this study were obtained from a survey of 1,050 individuals in Kenya conducted from April 7 to April 15, 2020. The survey included CV questions using a double-bounded dichotomous choice format. Results reveal that most of the individuals in Kenya (at least 96%) were willing to accept a COVID-19 vaccine. Approximately 80% of individuals were willing to pay a positive amount. Conservative estimates of individuals' mean WTP for the vaccine range from USD 49.81 to USD 68.25 (depending on vaccine characteristics). Both vaccine duration of protection and efficacy were found to influence WTP ( < .10). The perceived probability of being hospitalized, age, gender, education, location and region of residence, and household income were also found to be associated with WTP for the vaccine ( < .10). In conclusion, the COVID-19 vaccine is highly valued and accepted by the Kenyan population; however, a high percent of the population is unwilling to pay for it or is only willing to pay a low price.

摘要

实现对冠状病毒的群体免疫需要民众有较高的疫苗接种接受率。本研究的目的是:1)衡量肯尼亚个人对 COVID-19 疫苗的支付意愿(WTP);2)评估疫苗特性(保护期限和效力)和个体社会经济变量对 WTP 的影响,3)估计 COVID-19 疫苗的总需求和经济价值。条件价值评估(CV)方法是分析的基础。本研究的数据来自于 2020 年 4 月 7 日至 4 月 15 日在肯尼亚进行的一项针对 1050 人的调查。该调查包括使用双边界二分选择格式的 CV 问题。结果表明,肯尼亚的大多数人(至少 96%)愿意接受 COVID-19 疫苗。大约 80%的人愿意支付一定的金额。对疫苗的个人平均 WTP 的保守估计范围为 49.81 美元至 68.25 美元(取决于疫苗特性)。疫苗的保护期限和效力都被发现会影响 WTP(<0.10)。感知住院概率、年龄、性别、教育、地点和居住地区以及家庭收入也与对疫苗的 WTP 有关(<0.10)。总之,COVID-19 疫苗在肯尼亚民众中受到高度重视和接受;然而,仍有很大一部分人不愿意支付疫苗费用或只愿意支付较低的价格。

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