School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China.
Hospital Management Research Center, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Dec;28(45):64693-64705. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-15459-0. Epub 2021 Jul 27.
Cardiovascular disease (CVD), reported to relate with climate change, is the leading cause of global mortality and morbidity. Since the relevant information is quite limited from suburbs and countryside in developing and underdeveloped countries, there are no studies that focused on morbidity through diurnal temperature range (DTR) for these regions. This is the first study to evaluate the short-term effect of DTR on CVD hospital admission in suburban farmers, as well as to identify vulnerable subpopulations. Daily time series data of CVD hospital admissions on suburban farmers of Qingyang, China, and meteorological data from 2011 to 2015 were collected, and a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) combined with a quasi-Poisson generalized additive regression model (GAM) was used to examine the exposure-response relationship and delayed effect between DTR and CVD hospital admissions. Stratified analyses by age and gender were performed and extreme DTR effects were examined. Non-linear relation between DTR and CVD hospital admissions was observed, and whether DTR lower or higher than the reference (13 °C, 50 percentile) had adverse effect while lower DTR have slightly higher impact. Also, both extreme low and extreme high DTR had adverse effect. Besides, adults (age < 65) and males were more vulnerable to the effects of DTR compared with the old (age ≥ 65) and females, respectively. This study provides evidence that not only high DTR but also low DTR had adverse effects on CVD which should be paid attention to. Adults and males were more vulnerable among suburban farmers. The results are inconsistent with the studies from urban and indicate differences between urban and suburban residents. Multiple factors such as occupations, risk awareness, and lifestyles could have a significant influence on CVD morbidity, and further study is needed to explore more evidence.
心血管疾病(CVD)与气候变化有关,是全球死亡和发病的主要原因。由于发展中国家和欠发达国家的郊区和农村相关信息非常有限,因此没有针对这些地区通过日较差(DTR)发病率的研究。这是第一项评估 DTR 对郊区农民 CVD 住院的短期影响,并确定易患人群的研究。收集了中国庆阳郊区农民的 CVD 住院日时间序列数据和 2011 年至 2015 年的气象数据,并使用分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)结合拟泊松广义加性回归模型(GAM)来检验 DTR 与 CVD 住院之间的暴露-反应关系和延迟效应。进行了按年龄和性别分层的分析,并检查了极端 DTR 效应。观察到 DTR 与 CVD 住院之间存在非线性关系,无论 DTR 低于还是高于参考值(13°C,50 百分位)都有不良影响,而较低的 DTR 影响略高。此外,极端低和极端高 DTR 都有不良影响。此外,与老年人(年龄≥65 岁)和女性相比,成年人(年龄<65 岁)和男性对 DTR 的影响更为敏感。这项研究提供了证据表明,不仅高 DTR,而且低 DTR 对 CVD 也有不良影响,应引起重视。成年人和男性比郊区农民中的老年人和女性更易受影响。结果与城市研究不一致,表明城市居民和郊区居民之间存在差异。职业、风险意识和生活方式等多种因素可能对 CVD 的发病率有重大影响,需要进一步研究以探索更多证据。