Combined evaluation of aminotransferases improves risk stratification for overall and cause-specific mortality in older patients.

BACKGROUND

Recent studies identified low levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) as strong predictors of mortality in older people.

AIMS

Here we verified if the combined evaluation of aminotransferases may improve risk stratification for adverse outcomes in older patients.

METHODS

Data are from 761 participants aged more than 65 years from a prospective population-based database (InCHIANTI study), without known baseline chronic liver disease or malignancies. Associations between aminotransferase levels and the risk of all-cause, cardiovascular- and cancer-death were assessed by Cox-models with time-dependent covariates.

RESULTS

The association of ALT and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) with mortality was non-linear, mirroring a J- and a U-shaped curve, respectively. Based on quintiles of transaminase activities and on their association with overall mortality, low, intermediate (reference group) and high levels were defined. Having at least one transaminase in the low range [aHR 1.76 (1.31-2.36), p < 0.001], mainly if both [(aHR 2.39 (1.81-3.15), p < 0.001], increased the risk of overall mortality, as well as having both enzymes in the high range [aHR 2.14 (1.46-3.15), p < 0.001]. While similar trends were confirmed with respect to cardiovascular mortality, subjects with the highest risk of cancer mortality were those with both enzymes in the high range [aHR 3.48 (1.43-8.44), p = 0.006]. Low levels of transaminases were associated with frailty, sarcopenia and disability, while high levels did not capture any known proxy of adverse outcome. Conclusions and discussion The prognostic information is maximized by the combination of the 2 liver enzymes. While both aminotransferases in low range are characteristically found in the most fragile phenotype, both enzymes in high range are more likely to identify new-onset vascular/infiltrative diseases with adverse outcome.