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意大利全国范围内的颗粒物空气污染与呼吸道疾病日住院率的研究。

A nationwide study of air pollution from particulate matter and daily hospitalizations for respiratory diseases in Italy.

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology, ASL Rome 1, Local Health Authority, Lazio Region, Italy.

Department of Epidemiology, ASL Rome 1, Local Health Authority, Lazio Region, Italy.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2022 Feb 10;807(Pt 3):151034. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151034. Epub 2021 Oct 17.

Abstract

BACKGROUND/AIM: The relationship between air pollution and respiratory morbidity has been widely addressed in urban and metropolitan areas but little is known about the effects in non-urban settings. Our aim was to assess the short-term effects of PM10 and PM2.5 on respiratory admissions in the whole country of Italy during 2006-2015.

METHODS

We estimated daily PM concentrations at the municipality level using satellite data and spatiotemporal predictors. We collected daily counts of respiratory hospital admissions for each Italian municipality. We considered five different outcomes: all respiratory diseases, asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), lower and upper respiratory tract infections (LRTI and URTI). Meta-analysis of province-specific estimates obtained by time-series models, adjusting for temperature, humidity and other confounders, was applied to extrapolate national estimates for each outcome. At last, we tested for effect modification by sex, age, period, and urbanization score. Analyses for PM were restricted to 2013-2015 cause the goodness of fit of exposure estimation.

RESULTS

A total of 4,154,887 respiratory admission were registered during 2006-2015, of which 29% for LRTI, 12% for COPD, 6% for URTI, and 3% for asthma. Daily mean PM and PM concentrations over the study period were 23.3 and 17 μg/m, respectively. For each 10 μg/m increases in PM and PM at lag 0-5 days, we found excess risks of total respiratory diseases equal to 1.20% (95% confidence intervals, 0.92, 1.49) and 1.22% (0.76, 1.68), respectively. The effects for the specific diseases were similar, with the strongest ones for asthma and COPD. Higher effects were found in the elderly and in less urbanized areas.

CONCLUSIONS

Short-term exposure to PM is harmful for the respiratory system throughout an entire country, especially in elderly patients. Strong effects can be found also in less urbanized areas.

摘要

背景/目的:空气污染与呼吸道发病率之间的关系已在城市和大都市区得到广泛研究,但在非城市环境中其影响知之甚少。我们的目的是评估 2006-2015 年意大利全国范围内 PM10 和 PM2.5 对呼吸道疾病入院的短期影响。

方法

我们使用卫星数据和时空预测因子来估算市县级别的每日 PM 浓度。我们收集了意大利每个市的每日呼吸道疾病住院人数。我们考虑了五种不同的结果:所有呼吸道疾病、哮喘、慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)、下呼吸道感染(LRTI)和上呼吸道感染(URTI)。通过时间序列模型获得的省级特定估计值的荟萃分析,调整了温度、湿度和其他混杂因素,用于推断每种结果的全国估计值。最后,我们测试了性别、年龄、时期和城市化程度评分的效应修饰作用。由于暴露估计的拟合效果,PM 分析仅限于 2013-2015 年。

结果

2006-2015 年期间共登记了 4154887 例呼吸道疾病入院病例,其中 29%为 LRTI,12%为 COPD,6%为 URTI,3%为哮喘。研究期间的每日平均 PM 和 PM 浓度分别为 23.3 和 17μg/m。对于滞后 0-5 天每增加 10μg/m 的 PM 和 PM,我们发现总呼吸道疾病的超额风险分别为 1.20%(95%置信区间,0.92,1.49)和 1.22%(0.76,1.68)。特定疾病的影响相似,哮喘和 COPD 的影响最大。在老年人和城市化程度较低的地区,效果更强。

结论

短期暴露于 PM 对整个国家的呼吸系统有害,尤其是对老年患者。在城市化程度较低的地区也能发现较强的影响。

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