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基于熵值法和灰色关联法的粤港澳大湾区服务贸易国际竞争力分析

Analysis on International Competitiveness of Service Trade in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Based on Using the Entropy and Gray Correlation Methods.

作者信息

Xu Xianhang, Arshad Mohd Anuar, Mahmood Arshad

机构信息

School of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, Chongqing Institute of Engineering, Chongqing 400056, China.

School of Management, Universiti Sains Malaysia, Gelugor 11800, Penang, Malaysia.

出版信息

Entropy (Basel). 2021 Sep 26;23(10):1253. doi: 10.3390/e23101253.

Abstract

Based on the analysis and measurement of the overall situation, import and export structure and international competitiveness of the various sectors of service trade in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, with the help of MATLAB and Gray System Modeling software, the synergy degree model was established to quantitatively analyze the synergy level of service trade in the Greater Bay Area with the help of grey correlation analysis method and entropy weight method. The results show that the overall development trend of service trade in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is good. The service trade industries in different regions are highly complementary and have a high degree of correlation. The potential for the coordinated development of internal service trade is excellent, and the overall situation of service trade in the Greater Bay Area is in a stage of transition from a moderate level of synergy to a high level of synergy. The Greater Bay Area can achieve industrial synergy by accelerating industrial integration and green transformation, establishing a coordinated development mechanism, sharing market platform, strengthening personnel security, and further enhancing the international competitiveness of service trade. The established model better reflects the current coordination of service trade in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and has good applicability. In the future, more economic, technological, geographic, and policy data and information can be comprehensively used to study the spatial pattern, evolution rules, and mechanisms of coordinated development in the broader area.

摘要

基于对粤港澳大湾区服务贸易各部门总体情况、进出口结构及国际竞争力的分析与测度,借助MATLAB和灰色系统建模软件,构建协同度模型,运用灰色关联分析法和熵权法对大湾区服务贸易协同水平进行定量分析。结果表明,粤港澳大湾区服务贸易整体发展态势良好。不同地区的服务贸易产业互补性强、关联度高。区内服务贸易协同发展潜力巨大,大湾区服务贸易总体处于从中等协同水平向高等协同水平过渡的阶段。大湾区可通过加快产业融合与绿色转型、建立协同发展机制、共享市场平台、强化人才保障等方式,进一步提升服务贸易国际竞争力,实现产业协同。所构建的模型较好地反映了粤港澳大湾区服务贸易当前的协同状况,具有良好的适用性。未来,可综合运用更多经济、技术、地理及政策数据信息,研究更广阔区域内协同发展的空间格局、演变规律及机制。

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