Masud Md Abdullah Bin, Ahmed Mostak, Rahman Md Habibur
Department of Mathematics, Jagannath University, Dhaka, 1100, Bangladesh.
Sens Int. 2021;2:100131. doi: 10.1016/j.sintl.2021.100131. Epub 2021 Oct 22.
In the absence of a proper cure for the disease, the recent pandemic caused by COVID-19 has been focused on isolation strategies and government measures to control the disease, such as lockdown, media coverage, and improve public hygiene. Mathematical models can help when these intervention mechanisms find some optimal strategies for controlling the spread of such diseases. We propose a set of nonlinear dynamic systems with optimal strategy including practical measures to limit the spread of the virus and to diagnose and isolate infected people while maintaining consciousness for citizens. We have used Pontryagin's maximum principle and solved our system by the finite difference method. In the end, several numerical simulations have been executed to verify the proposed model using Matlab. Also, we pursued the resilience of the parameters of control of the nonlinear dynamic systems, so that we can easily handle the pandemic situation.
在缺乏针对该疾病的有效治愈方法的情况下,近期由新冠病毒引起的大流行主要集中在隔离策略和政府控制疾病的措施上,如封锁、媒体报道以及改善公共卫生。当这些干预机制寻找控制此类疾病传播的一些最优策略时,数学模型会有所帮助。我们提出了一组具有最优策略的非线性动态系统,包括限制病毒传播、诊断和隔离感染者同时保持公民意识的实际措施。我们运用了庞特里亚金极大值原理,并通过有限差分法求解我们的系统。最后,使用Matlab进行了若干数值模拟以验证所提出的模型。此外,我们研究了非线性动态系统控制参数的弹性,以便能够轻松应对大流行情况。