Prediction of high-risk areas of soil heavy metal pollution with multiple factors on a large scale in industrial agglomeration areas.

Heavy metals in soil are a great threat to ecosystems and human health. The rapid development of industrialization has created a serious risk of heavy metal pollution in soil. The study took the industrial-intensive Dahetan subbasin as the typical area. The factors and interactions that affected the distribution of soil heavy metals (Cd, Hg, As, Pb and Cr) in the typical area were explored based on the Geodetector model. The analysis results were extended to predict high-risk areas of heavy metal pollution in the soil in the Xiangjiang River basin. The results showed that Cd, As and Pb were significantly affected by local industrial and mining activities, and Hg and Cr were primarily affected by natural factors, such as pH and soil type. Compared to a single factor, the interaction between factors had a greater impact on the concentration of heavy metals. The high-risk areas of soil heavy metal pollution in the Xiangjiang River basin were primarily concentrated in the upper reaches and middle reaches.Significant overlapping of high-risk areas of multiple heavy metals occurred in the west, middle and south of the basin. The spatial visualization of the high-risk areas was realized, and the influence of several factors was integrated via layer superposition. This study proposes a new idea to predict the high-risk areas of soil pollution in large-scale areas to provide a reference for the regional prevention and control of soil pollution.