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吉兰-巴雷综合征后死亡率升高:一项基于人群的队列研究。

Increased mortality following Guillain-Barré syndrome: A population-based cohort study.

机构信息

Department of Neurology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.

Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.

出版信息

Eur J Neurol. 2022 Apr;29(4):1145-1154. doi: 10.1111/ene.15204. Epub 2021 Dec 19.

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) may be fatal in the acute phase but also affect long-term prognosis due to irreversible sequelae and secondary medical complications. We determined the short-term, intermediate, and long-term mortality of GBS compared to the general population.

METHODS

Individual-level data from nationwide registries were linked in this matched cohort study of all first-time hospital-diagnosed GBS patients in Denmark between 1987 and 2016 and 10 individuals from the general population, matched on age, sex, and index date. We used Cox regression analysis to calculate matched mortality hazard ratios (HRs) following GBS, assessing short-term (0-6 months), intermediate (>6 months-4 years), and long-term (>4 years) mortality.

RESULTS

We identified 2414 patients with GBS and 23,909 matched individuals from the general population. Short-term mortality was 4.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 4.0-5.8) and 0.8% (95% CI = 0.7-0.9) for GBS patients and general population members, respectively, resulting in an HR of 6.6 (95% CI = 4.0-5.8). Intermediate mortality was 7.6% (95% CI = 6.5-8.9), compared with 5.8% (95% CI = 5.5-6.1) for general population members, corresponding to an HR of 1.5 (95% CI = 1.3-1.8). After the first 4 years, long-term mortality showed similar results for GBS patients and general population members (HR = 1.1, 95% CI = 0.9-1.2).

CONCLUSIONS

During the first 6 months after GBS hospital admission, GBS was associated with a 6.6-fold increased mortality as compared with the background population of the same age. Mortality remained increased for approximately 4 years following GBS, and then leveled off to a similar long-term mortality rate.

摘要

背景与目的

吉兰-巴雷综合征(GBS)在急性期可能致命,但也会因不可逆转的后遗症和继发性医疗并发症而影响长期预后。我们比较了 GBS 患者与普通人群的短期、中期和长期死亡率。

方法

在这项丹麦全国性登记处的个体水平数据匹配队列研究中,我们纳入了 1987 年至 2016 年期间首次住院诊断为 GBS 的所有患者以及 10 名年龄、性别和索引日期相匹配的普通人群个体。我们使用 Cox 回归分析计算了 GBS 后匹配的死亡率风险比(HR),评估了短期(0-6 个月)、中期(>6 个月-4 年)和长期(>4 年)死亡率。

结果

我们共确定了 2414 名 GBS 患者和 23909 名普通人群个体。短期死亡率分别为 4.8%(95%置信区间[CI]:4.0-5.8)和 0.8%(95% CI:0.7-0.9),GBS 患者的 HR 为 6.6(95% CI:4.0-5.8)。中期死亡率为 7.6%(95% CI:6.5-8.9),而普通人群个体为 5.8%(95% CI:5.5-6.1),HR 为 1.5(95% CI:1.3-1.8)。在最初的 4 年后,GBS 患者和普通人群个体的长期死亡率表现相似(HR=1.1,95% CI:0.9-1.2)。

结论

在 GBS 住院后 6 个月内,GBS 患者的死亡率比同龄背景人群高 6.6 倍。GBS 后约 4 年,死亡率仍持续升高,然后趋于稳定,长期死亡率相似。

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