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每日气象参数影响亚热带季风盆地气候下脑出血的风险。

Daily Meteorological Parameters Influence the Risk of Intracerebral Hemorrhage in a Subtropical Monsoon Basin Climate.

作者信息

Wang Peng, Cheng Shuwen, Song Weizheng, Li Yaxin, Liu Jia, Zhao Qiang, Luo Shuang

机构信息

Department of Neurosurgery, Chengdu Fifth People's Hospital/Affiliated Chengdu No.5 People's Hospital of Chengdu University of TCM, Chengdu, People's Republic of China.

West China Fourth Hospital/West China School of Public Health, Sichuan University, Chengdu, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Risk Manag Healthc Policy. 2021 Dec 1;14:4833-4841. doi: 10.2147/RMHP.S331314. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The correlation between meteorological parameters and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) occurrence is controversial. Our research explored the effect of daily meteorological parameters on ICH risk in a subtropical monsoon basin climate.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed patients with ICH in a teaching hospital. Daily meteorological parameters including temperature (TEM), atmospheric pressure (PRE), relative humidity (RHU), and sunshine duration (SSD) were collected, with the diurnal variation (daily maximum minus minimum) and day-to-day variation (average of the day minus the previous day) calculated to represent their fluctuation. We adopted a time-stratified case-crossover approach and selected conditional logistic regression to explore the effect of meteorological parameters on ICH risk. The influence of monthly mean temperature proceeded via stratified analysis. Air pollutants were gathered as covariates.

RESULTS

Our study included 1052 eligible cases with ICH. In a single-factor model, the risk of ICH decreased by 5.9% (<0.001) for each 1°C higher of the daily mean TEM, and the risk increased by 2.4% (=0.002) for each 1hPa higher of the daily mean PRE. Prolongation of daily SSD inhibited the risk of ICH, and OR was 0.959 (=0.007). The risk was raised by 7.5% (=0.0496) with a 1°C increment of day-to-day variation of TEM. In a two-factor model, the effect of daily mean TEM or daily SSD on ICH risk was still statistically significant after adjusting another factor. The influence of meteorological parameters on ICH risk continued in cold months but disappeared in warm months after stratified analysis.

CONCLUSION

This research indicates daily TEM and SSD had an inverse correlation to ICH risk in a subtropical monsoon basin climate. They were independent when adjusted by another factor. Daily PRE and day-to-day TEM variation were positively related to ICH risk. The correlation of daily meteorological factors on ICH risk was affected by the monthly thermal background.

摘要

背景与目的

气象参数与脑出血(ICH)发生之间的相关性存在争议。我们的研究探讨了亚热带季风盆地气候中每日气象参数对ICH风险的影响。

方法

我们回顾性分析了一家教学医院的ICH患者。收集了包括温度(TEM)、气压(PRE)、相对湿度(RHU)和日照时长(SSD)在内的每日气象参数,并计算了昼夜变化(每日最高值减去最低值)和逐日变化(当日平均值减去前一日平均值)以表示其波动情况。我们采用时间分层病例交叉法,并选择条件逻辑回归来探讨气象参数对ICH风险的影响。通过分层分析研究月平均温度的影响。收集空气污染物作为协变量。

结果

我们的研究纳入了1052例符合条件的ICH病例。在单因素模型中,每日平均TEM每升高1°C,ICH风险降低5.9%(<0.001),每日平均PRE每升高1hPa,风险增加2.4%(=0.002)。每日SSD延长可降低ICH风险,比值比为0.959(=0.007)。TEM逐日变化每增加1°C,风险升高7.5%(=0.0496)。在双因素模型中,调整另一个因素后,每日平均TEM或每日SSD对ICH风险的影响仍具有统计学意义。分层分析后,气象参数对ICH风险的影响在寒冷月份持续存在,但在温暖月份消失。

结论

本研究表明,在亚热带季风盆地气候中,每日TEM和SSD与ICH风险呈负相关。在调整另一个因素时,它们相互独立。每日PRE和TEM逐日变化与ICH风险呈正相关。每日气象因素与ICH风险的相关性受月度热背景影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d550/8667755/785f9708b38e/RMHP-14-4833-g0001.jpg

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