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未另行指定的腮腺腺癌患者预后列线图的建立与验证:一项2004年至2016年的监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)分析

Establishment and Validation of Prognostic Nomograms for Patients With Parotid Gland Adenocarcinoma Not Otherwise Specified: A SEER Analysis From 2004 to 2016.

作者信息

Wang Zi-Meng, Xiang Zuo-Lin

机构信息

Department of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai East Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

Front Surg. 2022 Jan 11;8:799452. doi: 10.3389/fsurg.2021.799452. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

Parotid gland adenocarcinoma not otherwise specified (PANOS) is a rare malignant tumor with limited data on its characteristics and prognosis. This research is aimed at characterizing PANOS and developing prognostic prediction models for patients with PANOS. Cases from 2004-2016 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program database. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were applied to ascertain the factors associated with survival. Competing risk analysis and Gray's tests were employed to analyze cancer-specific death. Propensity score matching (1:1) was conducted to reduce the influence of confounding variables. A total of 446 patients with a median age of 66 years were selected, of which 307 were diagnosed with stage III/IV PANOS. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rate of all patients was 51.8%, and the median survival time was 66 months. Surgical treatment clearly improved survival time ( < 0.001). In the subgroup analysis, radiotherapy showed survival benefits in patients with stage III/IV disease ( < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that age, T classification, N classification, M classification and surgery were independent prognostic indicators for OS; T classification, N classification, M classification and surgery were independent risk factors for cancer-specific survival (CSS). In addition, age was independently associated with other cause-specific death. Based on the results of multivariate analysis, two nomograms were developed and verified by the concordance index (C-index) (0.747 and 0.780 for OS and CSS) and the area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (0.756, 0.764, and 0.819 regarding for nomograms predicting 3-, 5-, and 10- year OS, respectively and 0.794, 0.789, and 0.806 for CSS, respectively). Our study clearly presents the clinicopathological features and survival analysis of patients with PANOS. In addition, our constructed nomogram prediction models may assist physicians in evaluating the individualized prognosis and deciding on treatment for patients.

摘要

未另行规定的腮腺腺癌(PANOS)是一种罕见的恶性肿瘤,关于其特征和预后的数据有限。本研究旨在描述PANOS的特征,并为PANOS患者开发预后预测模型。从监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)计划数据库中选取2004年至2016年的病例。应用单因素和多因素Cox回归来确定与生存相关的因素。采用竞争风险分析和Gray检验来分析癌症特异性死亡。进行倾向评分匹配(1:1)以减少混杂变量的影响。共选取了446例中位年龄为66岁的患者,其中307例被诊断为III/IV期PANOS。所有患者的5年总生存率(OS)为51.8%,中位生存时间为66个月。手术治疗明显改善了生存时间(P<0.001)。在亚组分析中,放疗对III/IV期疾病患者显示出生存获益(P<0.001)。多因素Cox回归分析显示,年龄、T分类、N分类、M分类和手术是OS的独立预后指标;T分类、N分类、M分类和手术是癌症特异性生存(CSS)的独立危险因素。此外,年龄与其他特定原因死亡独立相关。基于多因素分析结果建立了两个列线图,并通过一致性指数(C指数)(OS和CSS分别为0.747和0.780)以及时间依赖性受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积(预测3年、5年和10年OS的列线图分别为0.756、0.764和0.819,CSS分别为0.794、0.789和0.806)进行验证。我们的研究清楚地呈现了PANOS患者的临床病理特征和生存分析。此外,我们构建的列线图预测模型可能有助于医生评估患者的个体化预后并决定治疗方案。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e0b1/8786720/fe8cb1eeec59/fsurg-08-799452-g0001.jpg

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