Ali Mohammed Tauseef, Mir Mohammad Saleem, Mehraj Sheikh, Shah Immad Ahmad
Division of Fruit Science, Sher-E-Kashmir University of Agricultural Sciences & Technology of Kashmir, Shalimar, 190025, India.
Division of Agricultural Statistics, Sher-E-Kashmir University of Agricultural Sciences & Technology of Kashmir, Shalimar, 190025, India.
Int J Biometeorol. 2022 May;66(5):945-956. doi: 10.1007/s00484-022-02250-0. Epub 2022 Feb 7.
Apple phenology is greatly influenced by temperature. For quality apple production in the orchards, knowledge of the real timing of phenological stages is essential for scientific management decisions. In the Kashmir region, the year 2017 had a normal weather phenomenon, whereas the year 2018 had an erratic weather phenomenon wherein unusually high temperatures prevailed in the winter months and may be a clear sign of climate change effect. Due to this higher temperature in winter months of the year 2018 before bud break, earliness of phenological stages happened as compared to the year 2017, viz. silver tip stage by 5.67 days, green tip stage by 6.61 days, pink bud stage by 10.09 days, initial bloom by 10.43 days, full bloom by 9.70 days, and petal fall by 8.00 days. The flowering duration was overall recorded 2.43 days more in 2018 as compared to that in 2017. Due to the earliness of phenological stages in 2018, all twenty-five cultivars of the apple remained at high risk of spring frost and scientific apple orchard interventions were badly hit as growers were surprised and unprepared. The information generated will be very useful for growers, students, researchers, policy makers, and all the concerned stakeholders to understand how apple phenology responds to normal and extreme erratic weather conditions and may happen more frequently in the future due to climate change.
苹果物候期受温度影响很大。对于果园中优质苹果的生产而言,了解物候阶段的实际时间对于科学管理决策至关重要。在克什米尔地区,2017年天气正常,而2018年天气异常,冬季月份出现异常高温,这可能是气候变化影响的明显迹象。由于2018年冬季月份在芽萌动前温度较高,与2017年相比,物候阶段提前出现,即银尖期提前5.67天、绿尖期提前6.61天、花芽期提前10.09天、初花期提前10.43天、盛花期提前9.70天、花瓣脱落期提前8.00天。总体而言,2018年的花期比2017年记录的多2.43天。由于2018年物候阶段提前,所有25个苹果品种仍面临春季霜冻的高风险,而且由于种植者感到惊讶且毫无准备,苹果园的科学干预受到严重影响。所产生的信息对于种植者、学生、研究人员、政策制定者以及所有相关利益攸关方了解苹果物候期如何应对正常和极端异常天气条件以及未来由于气候变化可能更频繁发生的情况将非常有用。